Bitcoin Price Today: BTC are you prepared for a second ...

The Four Horsemen - Signs of Incoming Crashes, and things.

Hey y'all! I'm going to keep this brief, but I was asked by Mr. October to post this, since I briefly described this on a discord we're both in. I do a ton of market analysis, mostly on alternative data, so I don't have cool superpowers potentially, but I do fancy myself a good trendspotter.
I wanted to share what I call my Four Horseman metric in brief, and I will fill it in more later when I get back/free from the clutches of homework.
The Four Horsemen:
  1. Rapid plunge in BTC/USD - This is an interesting metric, and makes sense if you understand that BTC has evolved from a hedge to a speculation play, which is why it arguably moves in lockstep with SPY most days. However, an interesting property I and many others have noticed is BTC seems to be a leading indicator of market movements, and rapid climbs/plunges tend to signal an incoming correction. See the chart on September 2nd, 2020 for an example.
  2. NOPE_MAD >= 3 End of Day: NOPE, or Net Option Pricing Effect, in principle looks at how dominant options flow trading volume is on the market compared to the more conventional shares volume. When the NOPE_MAD (median absolute deviation) compared to the previous 30 days is 3 deviations higher than normal, this means a red day the next day about 88% of the time (backtested to Mar 2019). You can check NOPE_MAD intraday here - https://thenope.info/nope/default/charts/SPY/2020-10-13 (the URL changes per day, so tomorrow will be 2020-10-14)
  3. The VIX rising with SPY - This usually is part of the parabolic phase, and means a metric fuck ton of calls are being written, which is pushing up option prices across the board. Usually VIX is a measure of downies-volatility, so when it and SPY both go up, it's a Very Bad Thing. Also see September 2nd, 2020.
  4. Small Tech/Caps Leading Big Tech/Caps - This is a more interesting metric, and only makes sense when you understand what causes a Minsky Moment style correction (irrational exuberance). In a stable market, big caps tend to act as a source of strength/safe harbor, and when small caps are leading, this tends to signal intense bull mania, which usually precedes a correction.
Honorable Mentions:
  1. Microsoft going up parabolically - Microsoft is our favorite boomer stock for a reason - it is much more stable than AMZN or AAPL, and doesn't like large movements. I noticed anecdotally this year that right before all the big tech corrections (3-5 days out) MSFT goes up exponentially, often more than the rest of the market, because smart money is looking for safe harbor.
I'd be happy to answer any questions later!

Edit: Wanted to add some stuff given the comments below.
  1. I did not write this to predict a crash based on today's behavior, but to generally inform about a metric I use to detect Minsky Moment style crashes. For more info on that - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minsky_moment
  2. Lots of these indicators are new, and due in large part due to the relative fuckiness of the current market. Bitcoin and SPY did not track until this year, and I only noticed the Microsoft effect I mentioned since about 6/5 onwards. This likely also happens in other boomesafe stocks, but MSFT is by far my largest active trading position, hence why I noticed it.
  3. I will be adding a post soon specifically dedicated to the interpretation of NOPE and NOPE_MAD.
submitted by the_lilypad to thecorporation [link] [comments]

Why Bitcoin is Superior to Gold

There is a constant war being fought between goldbugs, like Peter Schiff, and Bitcoin enthusiasts so I decided to make an outline, with links, comparing and contrasting gold and Bitcoin. I made this in November of 2019 (thus the information therein is based on figures from that time) but, being scatter brained, neglected to post this for the Bitcoin community to see. The yardsticks I used to compare the two assets included the following: shipping/transactions costs, storage costs, censorship factor, settlement time, stock to flow, blockchain vs clearing house, validation, etc. I will also touch on Roosevelt's gold confiscation executive order in 1933, transporting gold during the Spanish Civil War in 1936, and the hypothetical cost for Venezuela to repatriate its gold more recently.
I will provide a brief summary first then follow that with the outline I made. This information can be used as a tool for the Bitcoin community to combat some of the silly rhetoric coming from goldbugs such as Peter Schiff and James Rickards. I would like to make it clear, however, that I am not against gold and think that it performed its role as money very well in a technologically inferior era, namely Victorian times but I think Bitcoin performs the functions of money better than gold does in the current environment.
I have been looking to make a contribution to the Bitcoin community and I hope this is a useful and educational tool for everyone who reads this.
Summary:
Shipping/transaction costs: 100 ounces of gold could be shipped for 315 dollars; the comparable dollar value in Bitcoin could be sent for 35 dollars using a non-segwit address. Using historical precendent, it would cost an estimated $32,997,989 to transport $1 billion in gold using the 3.3% fee that the Soviets charged the Spaniards in 1936; a $1 billion Bitcoin transaction moved for $690 last year by comparison. Please note that the only historic example we can provide for moving enormous sums of gold was when the government of Spain transported gold to Moscow during the Spanish Civil War in 1936. More information on this topic will be found in the notes section.
Storage costs: 100 ounces of gold would require $451 per year to custody while the equivalent value of Bitcoin in dollar terms could be stored for the cost of a Ledger Nano S, $59.99. $1 billion USD value of gold would cost $2,900,000 per year while an Armory set up that is more secure would run you the cost of a laptop, $200-300.
Censorship factor: Gold must pass through a 3rd party whenever it is shipped, whether for a transaction or for personal transportation. Gold will typically have to be declared and a customs duty may be imposed when crossing international borders. The key take-away is gatekeepers (customs) can halt movement of gold thus making transactions difficult. $46,000 of gold was seized in India despite the smugglers hiding it in their rectums.
Settlement time: Shipping gold based on 100 ounces takes anywhere from 3-10 days while Bitcoin transactions clear in roughly 10 minutes depending on network congestion and fee size.
Historic confiscation: Franklin Roosevelt confiscated and debased the paper value of gold in 1933 with Executive Order 6102. Since gold is physical in nature and value dense, it is often stored in custodial vaults like banks and so forth which act as a honeypot for rapacious governments.
Stock to flow: Plan B's stock to flow model has become a favorite on twitter. Stock to flow measures the relationship between the total stock of an asset against the amount that is produced in a given year. Currently gold still has the highest value at 62 while Bitcoin sits at 50 in 2nd place. Bitcoin will overtake gold in 2024 after the next halving.
Blockchain vs clearing house: gold payments historically passed through a 3rd party (clearinghouse) in order to be validated while Bitcoin transactions can be self validated through the use of a node.
Key Takeaway from above- Bitcoin is vastly superior to gold in terms of cost, speed, and censorship resistance. One could theoretically carry around an enormous sum of Bitcoin on a cold card while the equivalent dollar value of gold would require a wheelbarrow...and create an enormous target on the back of the transporter. With the exception of the stock to flow ratio (which will flip in Bitcoin's favor soon), Bitcoin is superior to gold by all metrics covered.
Notes:
Shipping/transaction costs
Gold
100 oz = 155,500. 45 x 7 = $315 to ship 100 oz gold.
https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/839735-katchum/2547831-how-much-does-it-cost-to-ship-silver-and-gold
https://www.coininvest.com/en/shipping-prices/
211 tonnes Venezuela; 3.3% of $10.5 billion = 346,478,880 or 32,997,989/billion usd
http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/2011/08/23/how-to-get-12-billion-of-gold-to-venezuela/ (counter party risk; maduro; quotes from article)
Bitcoin
18 bitcoin equivalent value; 35 USD with legacy address
https://blockexplorer.com/
https://bitcoinfees.info/
1 billion; $690 dollars
https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2019/09/someone-moved-1-billion-in-a-single-bitcoin-transaction/
Storage costs
Gold
.29% annually; https://sdbullion.com/gold-silver-storage
100 oz – $451/year
$1 billion USD value – $2,900,000/year
Bitcoin
Ledger Nano S - $59.00 (for less bitcoin)
https://shop.ledger.com/products/ledger-nano-s/transparent?flow_country=USA&gclid=EAIaIQobChMI3ILV5O-Z5wIVTtbACh1zTAwqEAQYASABEgJ5SPD_BwE
Armory - $200-300 cost of laptop for setup
https://www.bitcoinarmory.com/
Censorship factor (must pass through 3rd party)
Varies by country
Gold will typically have to be declared and a customs duty may be imposed
Key take-away is gatekeepers (customs) can halt movement of gold thus making transactions difficult
$46,000 seized in India
https://www.foxnews.com/travel/indian-airport-stops-29-passengers-smuggling-gold-in-their-rectums
Settlement time
Gold
For 100 oz transaction by USPS 3-10 days (must pass through 3rd party)
Bitcoin
Roughly 10 minutes to be included in next block
Historic confiscation-roosevelt 1933
Executive Order 6102 (forced spending, fed could ban cash, go through and get quotes)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Executive_Order_6102
“The stated reason for the order was that hard times had caused "hoarding" of gold, stalling economic growth and making the depression worse”
Stock to flow; https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/modeling-bitcoins-value-with-scarcity-91fa0fc03e25 (explain what it is and use charts in article)
Gold; SF of 62
Bitcoin; SF of 25 but will double to 50 after May (and to 100 in four years)
Blockchain vs clearing house
Transactions can be validated by running a full node vs. third party settlement
Validation
Gold; https://www.goldismoney2.com/threads/cost-to-assay.6732/
(Read some responses)
Bitcoin
Cost of electricity to run a full node
Breaking down Venezuela conundrum; http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/2011/08/23/how-to-get-12-billion-of-gold-to-venezuela/
“The last (and only) known case of this kind of quantity of gold being transported across state lines took place almost exactly 75 years ago, in 1936, when the government of Spain removed 560 tons of gold from Madrid to Moscow as the armies of Francisco Franco approached. Most of the gold was exchanged for Russian weaponry, with the Soviet Union keeping 2.1% of the funds in the form of commissions and brokerage, and an additional 1.2% in the form of transport, deposit, melting, and refining expenses.”
“Venezuela would need to transport the gold in several trips, traders said, since the high value of gold means it would be impossible to insure a single aircraft carrying 211 tonnes. It could take about 40 shipments to move the gold back to Caracas, traders estimated. “It’s going to be quite a task. Logistically, I’m not sure if the central bank realises the magnitude of the task ahead of them,” said one senior gold banker.”
“So maybe Chávez intends to take matters into his own hands, and just sail the booty back to Venezuela on one of his own naval ships. Again, the theft risk is obvious — seamen can be greedy too — and this time there would be no insurance. Chávez is pretty crazy, but I don’t think he’d risk $12 billion that way.”
“Which leaves one final alternative. Gold is fungible, and people are actually willing to pay a premium to buy gold which is sitting in the Bank of England’s ultra-secure vaults. So why bother transporting that gold at all? Venezuela could enter into an intercontinental repo transaction, where it sells its gold in the Bank of England to some counterparty, and then promises to buy it all back at a modest discount, on condition that it’s physically delivered to the Venezuelan central bank in Caracas. It would then be up to the counterparty to work out how to get 211 tons of gold to Caracas by a certain date. That gold could be sourced anywhere in the world, and transported in any conceivable manner — being much less predictable and transparent, those shipments would also be much harder to hijack. How much of a discount would a counterparty require to enter into this kind of transaction? Much more than 3.3%, is my guess. And again, it’s not entirely clear who would even be willing to entertain the idea. Glencore, perhaps?”
“But here’s one last idea: why doesn’t Chávez crowdsource the problem? He could simply open a gold window at the Banco Central de Venezuela, where anybody at all could deliver standard gold bars. In return, the central bank would transfer to that person an equal number of gold bars in the custody of the Bank of England, plus a modest bounty of say 2% — that’s over $15,000 per 400-ounce bar, at current rates. It would take a little while, but eventually the gold would start trickling in: if you’re willing to pay a constant premium of 2% over the market price for a good, you can be sure that the good in question will ultimately find its way to your door. And the 2% cost of acquiring all that gold would surely be much lower than the cost of insuring and shipping it from England. It would be an elegant market-based solution to an artificial and ideologically-driven problem; I daresay Chávez might even chuckle at the irony of it. He’d just need to watch out for a rise in Andean banditry, as thieves tried to steal the bars on their disparate journeys into Venezuela.”
submitted by cornish_roots to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

What I see when I see a student with ADHD

I have ADHD.
I was diagnosed at age 12. What happened is I got to middle school, and my life fell apart. It came on like a typhoon. Things seemed alright as I started, but I still remember that October when my family went to sixth-grade check-in.
My twin sister went first. The meeting lasted about four minutes. She and my parents left with smiles all around and talk of getting In N Out on the way home. Then it was my turn.
Every teacher I had stood in a circle. They seemed...different. One by one, they went around and told me that I was shit. Some were nicer than others, but everyone had the same message to convey:
Doesn't complete his homework all the way
Distracts others trying to learn
Unable to follow along in class
Not sure if he can keep up
I then heard my grades: C-, D+, C+, A in PE, C, and an F in Social Studies.
I don't remember being ashamed or embarrassed or anything. I remember being confused. I had gone to school every day and tried hard and thought I was doing what the teacher asked. Nope. Guess I wasn't.
Nobody had much advice for me. They just wanted me to know that I sucked. And that my parents should understand so. I don't know if my parents freaked out or punished me or what. But they weren't happy.
The last to go was my social studies teacher, Sven.
He asked me if I knew how to read.
I politely nodded my head.
But he wasn't sure. He talked about all the symptoms he had seen from me. To counter, I pulled a grad-level book on the Cold War off a shelf and read a page aloud while trying not to cry. People were even more confused.
Some estimate that a child with ADHD will receive 20,000 more negative comments before the age of 12 than a non-ADHD child will. I can't speak to that exactly, but I can say that this was not the only time I've had a room full of people upset with me for reasons I never saw coming. It doesn't get much easier.
Sven caught up to us as we walked to the car. He was cagey with his reasoning, but he told us that there might be something up with my brain. He recommended I get tested by a psychiatrist and see what she had to say. I've since come to my conclusions where he got such an idea.
The testing was fun. I've always liked tests. Didn't mention it, but they also thought I couldn't read in 2nd grade. Lol. That one went away after I took a standardized exam and scored in the 99th percentile of the nation in reading. I thought standardized tests were fun, you see.
I moved a bunch of colored balls into colored holes and tried to remember what color things were after 10 minutes and everything else you might expect. I didn't know what I was even doing, but I felt I could hang.
Three weeks later, I got my results. The only part I remember is that my psychiatrist noted that in her entire career, she had never met someone who scored higher on specific tasks and yet lower on others. My chart looked like OJ Simpson’s polygraph.
I could keep going, and in another article, I will. But this is how I got diagnosed. And the key to all of it was Sven. Everything makes perfect sense after the fact, but only when you realize that a single teacher served as the link that completes the narrative. I do not know where I am today without him.
I got lucky that this story takes place in 2003, and at a private school with teachers who genuinely cared about me. For reasons a lawyer in the comments needs to help me understand better, public school teachers seem loath to alert students of disabilities of any kind. This includes ADHD but also things like autism, dyslexia, and mood disorders. Things that seem apparent to me in a way that makes it seem impossible that no other teacher in the past 13 years hasn’t also picked up on them.
That means many students go through primary schooling while having no idea they have a problem at all. When I mention to a student they might have ADHD, they are first confused, but then some memories come back. The first is that someone, usually a sports or music coach, had once told them the same thing. The other is that they remember a lot of teachers saying weird stuff they didn't understand at the time. Stuff like, "You’re so talented. I just wish you could be better focused. Have you talked to anyone about why you could be having trouble?" To me, those sound like hints from a teacher who has been told by her bosses not to put the school at risk.
I am not a teacher. I'm a private consultant and can pretty much say whatever I want. I am also not a doctor - people would die - but I am a concerned adult who has taken courses in spotting learning disabilities. I'm also someone who will do absolutely anything to make sure his students have the best chance for success now and in the future. I'm also someone who asked both my ADHD-psychiatrist (hi!) and ADHD-therapist (hi!!!!!) if I had the right to tell students if I suspected something; they both went, Ya, dude. Totally.
So I try to be Sven. I try to pay attention to what my students do and say and provide feedback that can help them. I'd like to note what that feedback is here to make sure people don't miss it because my pieces go on for way too long.
If you are a high school student who suspects he or she has ADHD, your best course of action is to talk with your parents and look into being tested by a professional psychiatrist who specializes in the topic. These tests are expensive, and mental health insurance in America sucks balls. But this is the fastest, most straightforward route to getting the help you need.
Option two is to try and work with/through your public high school to get them to pay for it. This site has some good info. My guess is that this method will suck. Public schools don't have a lot of funding and will not want to spend it on you. That's not your problem. You will almost certainly need your parents to back you up on this one and sit through a lot of boring meetings. I assume a lot of people will tell you a lot of reasons why they can't help you. Your response every time should be some version of, "Sure. But I need help with this. And I'm not going to stop until I get the support I need. So what do I do from here?" Then you blankly stare at them and refuse to leave until they get you at least to the next step. I'm not sure how well this will work. If you do attempt or have attempted this method, please DM me or contact my Email with your experience. I want to know if this is even worth my student's time.
If you can not afford traditional testing or do not feel your parents would support such testing, your best option is to wait until the day you turn 18 and then register for a telehealth company specializing in ADHD. The one I use and recommend is HelloAhead.com. They're neat. They do not take traditional insurance, but their rates are much lower than most doctors. They are cheap enough that I feel an average 18-year old who wants help could find a way to afford it on his or her own. The downside with these sites is the waiting times can be long. Took me like five months. Other such sites are popping up, and while I can't vouch for them, they all seem to offer a similar service.
Those paragraphs are what I want every student here to know. I'm much more comfortable having a trained doctor tell you what the deal is than I am trying to do it myself.
But I have to see something if I want to be Sven. The question then is, how do I see it? For spotting ADHD, it's shockingly simple. And I'll get to the real reason at the end. But for now, here is what I see when I see a student with ADHD.
The best way I can describe their lives is "endless chaos"
The chaos isn't always bad! Rarely it's fun chaos, but often it's just chaos chaos. This chaos exists in both physical and mental forms.
Physical: Their shit is such a mess. Everything. Most of the work we do is digital, so I see the Google Doc version of their mind. Folders make no sense. Things are labeled inaccurately or not at all. Schools get combined, or separated, or forgotten altogether. It is not a single type of error, but instead a collection of small mistakes and poor decisions that make the work impossible to corral. I have some kids that are messy or lazy, but this is different. It's like if the original folder system I built for them was an amoeba in a petri dish. Leave that dish out for a weekend and come back. The patterns will be remarkably similar to the organizational gore that they then try to utilize.
Mental: There's always a story. "I was late because my car has a flat tire, and the guy was late, so I had to take an Uber." "I didn't know my music essays were due a month early because the form only mentioned there being a recital." "My friend is mad at me, but it's only because she didn't tell me we were the first group presenting, so I spent more time preparing our project".
These stories make sense at first. But after a few weeks, they start to pile up. Then I become the one hearing a story about why they didn't do what I wanted, and I stop being so forgiving.
ADHD is a neurological disorder. Not a mental illness. It's closer to diabetes than it is bi-polar. "ADHD" is a fairly garbage name for the condition because A) it has a stigma, and B) it isn't even accurate. Both attention deficit and hyperactivity are symptoms of ADHD, but they are not the problem itself. It would be like calling clinical depression "low energy and excessive guilt disorder". ADHD is actually an issue involving improper dopamine regulation in the brain combined with under-activity of the brain's executive function component.
The executive function center is the part of your brain that is in charge of making sure all the other parts of your brain play nice and communicate. When the executive function center breaks down...those other parts don't. The result is a failure to plan or coordinate + a need for impulsive stimulation, thus resulting in endless chaos.
This is what I’ll ask you if you DM me, btw. Is your life endless chaos? Sometimes do you like the chaos? Sometimes do you get bored and create the chaos yourself just to see what might happen? But when that chaos stops being so fun, can you make it stop?
They're very, very intelligent
You've probably heard about the "gifted ADHD genius" thing before. I don't think it exists.
My theory has always been that the "gifted ADHD child" is a victim of survivorship bias.
The research states that ADHD has either no or a negative correlation with intelligence.
There is also a startling overlap with ADHD and incarceration.
This means that students who still manage to succeed despite their disorder tend to have advantages that keep them in the game. Namely that they're smart as hell. The other saving grace is that they come from secure support networks that prevent them from unraveling completely. I've heard from such students that their mom or dad works tirelessly to keep their life in order and to make sure they're getting things done. I do not think it is a coincidence that when ADHD students leave for college, things often fall apart.
The fact that there are ADHD kids that others know and still like makes some think ADHD isn't so bad or comes with natural cognitive advantages. Those same people do not become friends with the ADHD dumb kids who would disprove those perceptions. Do you remember that kid in elementary school who was his own worst enemy? He never had friends, and everyone was kind of afraid to even talk with him? He was kind of a bully but mostly just awful? He invited you to his house one time, but your mom wouldn’t let you go? That is my best guess of what a dumb kid with ADHD is like. It sounds cold writing it, but you know which kid I'm talking about right now. Where do you think that kid is today?
I end up with the smart ones—the ones with parents who care. And God damn are these kids smart. They're brilliant, and funny, and likable, and charming. They have something different about them that makes them undeniable. And it's not just me. I worry I play them up too much in my mind, but then I chat with a teacher or coach of theirs. It's always the same thing: Oh, she's brilliant. She can be so frustrating sometimes, tho.
They can be so frustrating sometimes, tho
The word is frustrating. Now bad. Not nasty. Not unlikeable. Frustrating.
I have some students I just don't like that much (no, not you). What tends to be the common theme with them is that they don't have much interest in my help and display a work ethic to match. On the other spectrum are the world beaters (totally you). These kids kick ass and not only follow my advice but often take that advice to the next level in ways that awe and inspire me.
And then there are the kids I think have ADHD. They don't do stuff all the time. They don't finish an essay, or they forget to spell check like I asked, or they write about something that has nothing to do with the outline we built the week before. That's not necessarily the frustrating part. You kids are 17; you make mistakes. Early on, I try to spot these mistakes and point them out. Even the students who don't like me seem to get my point after enough prodding and the problem goes away.
With these kids, the problem does not go away. Or if it does, another problem pops right back up to replace it. It makes me feel like there's nothing I can do. It would be easier if the student was just a brat. Then I could either become a brat myself or mentally check out because "hey man, your future”.
I need a name for kids I suspect have ADHD…"MaybeHD"?
Ya. That’s super funny. Say it out loud and try not to laugh.
But these MaybeHD kids do like me. And they do want to get into school. And they do feel bad when I get upset with them. I end up in long, drawn-out conversations with them about why this is important and why they need to make specific work a priority to get into the schools they want to go to. Then they nod meekly and head home. Then they come back next week, and it's the same story.
Frustrating.
They are randomly awesome at the weirdest things
I love weird talents. Things that no one offers up immediately, but then you're chatting, and it comes up naturally. "Oh ya, I love animals! I raise baby pigs in my backyard!"
"You do?"
"Ya!"
At some point, the MaybeHD kid read something or watched a Youtube video that he or she liked. Then they wanted to try it. Six months later, they're making 4k a month selling custom bathrobes on Etsy. There's rarely any logic.
"Do you like baths? Or making clothing?
"Not really. I just thought it looked fun, so I bought a sewing kit and started making things."
There is a noted link between ADHD and entrepreneurship. I see it with my MaybeHD students. They have an insatiable drive and passion for following up on curiosities that other students don't possess. Passion is the wrong word. They have obsessions with mastering concepts in a way that feels beyond their control. The obsession itself drives them to be great.
The literature on the subject is cloudy. But there exists a term in ADHD circles called "Hyperfocus". If you know what "flow" is, it's kind of like that. Only more intense and less controllable. I often see the remnants of past hyperfocuses in their stories. They used to run that pig farm. They used to sell bathrobes. They used to be really into getting good grades at school. But then one day, just as quickly as they picked the skill up, they dropped it. They can seldom tell me why.
Their priorities are completely out of whack
The downside of hyperfocus is that it can be so all-encompassing that other priorities fall by the wayside. One of my favorite students ever is named Elleway. We chatted in our first meeting, and I was instantly intrigued by her background. She said she had designed and prototyped a unit that would automatically roll under parked electric cars for hands-free charging. I hear a lot of impressive stuff in my job, and a lot of it ends up being not that impressive. But then Elleway showed me the prototype video she made back when she was a high school freshman and it blew my mind.
https://youtu.be/Y5Ap2uMbWL4
Can you do that? I sure as hell can't. She wasn't even an engineer. She calmly explained that she had partnered with several older male engineers who had helped turn her idea into reality. Then she had done all the promotional and marketing work herself. Then she got second out of 300 students at a young entrepreneur contest held at Columbia University. Shortly after, a tech CEO came up to her and asked if she would like to work with him to file a patent for the invention. She agreed and is now a trademark holder.
That was all in our first 10 minutes. She then went on to share the half dozen corporations she had worked for. And the three businesses she started. And the graphic design work she made for her website. She told me how she was a Nationally ranked fencer until she lost interest. She was now merely a Nationally ranked golfer.
Then I saw she had a 2.9 GPA and thus zero shot at getting into NYU like she hoped.
I did not initially think Elleway had ADHD. I thought she was a pathological liar. It seemed impossible to me that this same girl who had already taken a grip on the world was then unable to keep up her grades in math. That just isn’t how any -any- of my other ultra high-achieving students behave. Then Elleway showed me pictures of her casually hanging out with Andrew Yang. And then her LinkedIn With a lot of people who do not accept your request unless they want to. I had to figure out what the hell led to all this.
Elleway’s patent and ambition to work on it had taken up all her time. She was so singularly focused on doing what she cared about that the world behind her didn't seem to exist. She was hyperfocused on a goal, but once she reached it, she woke up to a reality that punished her for ignoring everything else.
That's the longing writer's version of the story. The more popular one is that she didn't give a shit about school, was warned repeatedly about the consequences, and ignored them. She got what she deserved. That’s the version the rest of the world had for her.
It goes back to frustrating. I've gotten kids into NYU that don't show a fifth the potential that Elleway did. Those kids went to all the camps their parents paid for and entered competitions with a tech doorbell or something lame, and they're just fine. But MaybeHD students are often world-beaters in ways that make them seem so special. They talk endlessly not just about what they're into but how they figured it all out and why it is all so important to them. I believe them, and I want to fight for them. So I give them as much assistance as I possibly can. But then they don't do the increasingly easy tasks I ask for them to complete. Then they suffer the consequences.
Elleway didn't get into NYU. She didn't get in much of anywhere. It eats me up inside, and I feel like I failed her. I don't know how many other people in my position would feel the same way. That's why I have to be Sven.
This is getting long, and I'm getting depressed. Here's the TL: DR of what I see when I see a student with ADHD
...
Me. I see me. And it can hurt really bad knowing what a condition like ADHD does to a young person's life.
My life is endless chaos. I've been out of food for nine days. My house looks like Badger from Breaking Bad bought a loft in Palo Alto. I am still writing this at 3:25 AM when I have to be up for work at nine. My cat has started doing this thing where she sleeps in her food bowl when it gets empty. It's equal parts adorable and humiliating.
I'm smart as shit. I know it. I made up half-ideas. That article is absolute fire. I got published on Cracked.com five times in 2011 when that meant something. I went to Tulane on a half-ride merit scholarship, used to win creative writing contests, and have done a bunch of other writery stuff that made people stand up and go, "Woah".
But I only made it to college because my mom carried me there, kicking and screaming. She packaged my life together, and I held on for the ride. Then I got to school and made it two months before she got an Email alerting her that Tulane was planning to revoke the remaining $70,000 of my $80,000 scholarship due to my grades. I barely scraped by and survived. But the shame and frustration in her voice when she read me that letter over the phone haunts me to this day.
I analyze handwriting. And I turned a Reddit account into a successful business in four months. And I collect college T-shirts from schools my students go to. And I own Bitcoin I bought in 2011 for $4.50 each. And I'm teaching myself piano with a video game. And I'm exercising with a video game. And I'm ranked 42nd in Northern California at Super Smash Bros Ultimate. And I’ve tried the nachos at over 100 Taquerias in the Bay Area. And I own a really cute cat.
But I've spent 15* hours this week writing this instead of a sequel to that Costco piece. I have one coming where I edit my Common App essay from 2009. It's a great idea and a great article. One that will drive significantly more business to my site than this piece will. Hell, I predict this piece is likely to lose me business because I come off like a mess in it. But it's what I want to write, so I feel like I have no choice.
*The 15 hours is a guess. I have no idea how long it takes me to write and edit these things. I start typing and X hours later look up and realize how hungry I am and how much I need to pee. The writing controls me.
I see myself in my MaybeHD students. I see their unfettered curiosity and flair for taking as much good from the world as possible. I see their infectious enthusiasm and ability to quickly forgive others because they know too well how it feels to want forgiveness themselves.
Yet I also see their inattention to detail, their weak excuses, and their general confusion that makes me realize they couldn't fix some problems if their lives depended on it. I see their sadness and shame when those mistakes pile up. I see when the chaos stops being fun, and they want out, but they don't know how. I don't know what I, as their consultant, can do. But as Sven, I can recommend they go talk to someone else...
Hey, so, I was considering hiring you and all...but you seem kind of bad. Why should I trust you?
Because a couple of years ago, I got back on my medication and turned my life around. You aren't reading this if I don't reach out for help and trust a trained psychiatrist to guide me. There are no groups of friends in Delaware or Connecticut comparing their half-ideas lists. There sure as shit isn't a CollegeWithMattie.com.
I still have ADHD. But one of the greatest things about ADHD is that it is -without rival- the most treatable form of mental illness or dysfunction known to man. It is not curable, but there are endless medical and non-medical options available for those willing to reach out and get the help they need. My story is that it was only by getting re-medicated that I then could learn and use coping mechanisms that allow me to achieve the type of life I've always wanted.
Christ, 4,400 words. You know, I'm also submitting this for a class I'm in. That's why all the backlinks are to actual sources instead of links herding you into my website. Hi Amy! That's one more thing. ADHD people are hyper-efficient...Kind of.
Alright. If you're still here reading this, you might be suspecting some things about yourself. My DMs are open if you want to chat, but again, I am not a doctor. I will say that right now, as you prepare to head to college, is a really good time to get this all figured out. College is a giant reset button on your life. Figure these problems out now so that by the time you head off for your next chapter, you will have given yourself the best possible chance to succeed.
Endless chaos.
Here is the bold part again:
If you are a student in high school who suspects he or she has ADHD, your best course of action is to talk with your parents and look into being tested by a professional psychiatrist who specializes in the topic. These tests are expensive, and mental health insurance in America (still) sucks balls. But this is the fastest, most straightforward route to getting the help you need.
Option two is to try and work with/through your public high school to get them to pay for it. This site has some good info. My guess is that this method will kind of suck. Public schools don't have a lot of funding and will not want to spend it on you. That's not your problem. You will almost certainly need your parents to back you up on this one and sit through a lot of boring meetings. I assume a lot of people will tell you a lot of reasons why they can't help you. Your response every time should be some version of, "Sure. But I need help with this. And I'm not going to stop until I get the support I need. So what do I do from here?" Then you blankly stare at them and refuse to leave until they get you at least to the next step. This will suck and I'm not sure how well it will work. If you do attempt or have attempted this method, please DM me or contact my Email with your experience. I want to know if this is even worth my student's time.
If you can not afford traditional testing, or if you do not feel your parents would support such testing, your best option is to wait until the day you turn 18 and then register for a telehealth company that specializes in ADHD. The one I use and recommend is HelloAhead.com. They're neat. They do not take traditional insurance, but their rates are much lower than most doctors. They are cheap enough that I feel an average 18-year old who wants help could find a way to afford it on his or her own. The downside with these sites is the waiting times can be really long. Took me like five months. Other such sites are popping up, and while I can't vouch for them, they all seem to offer a similar service.
Update: The lines aren't that long anymore! Monday was Elleway's 18th birthday. She sent me a screengrab of her upcoming Ahead appointment in early September. She told me she spent the entire day crying because all her friends were going off to great schools and that she was stuck at home. I've told Elleway that I plan to help her reapply to NYU this year. I doubt I will ever want to see another student succeed as much as I will with her.
submitted by CollegeWithMattie to ApplyingToCollege [link] [comments]

Snowflake

For Trading September 17th
NASDAQ SELLOFF
SNOWFLAKE SURPRISE
FED DAY LETDOWN
Today’s market started off with another rally and at the highs we were +369 on the DJIA, but as Chairman Powell was talking at his press conference we started to fade and we had a downdraft to +130, and in the last 15 minutes we had another one taking us to just above unchanged to finish within pennies of the low +36.78 (.13%). NASDAQ was -139.85 (1.25%), S&P 500 -15.71 (.46%), the Russell +14.17 (.92%) and the DJ Transports +78.18 (.68%) and made a new all-time high at 11,690.82. Market internals were generally healthy with NYSE 1.6:1 and NASDAQ just slightly lower at 1.5:1, with a 20% increase in volume. The DJIA was split 15:15 with only HD, HD, and AAPL 25DP losers and BA +26, the only gainer of $26 DP’s.
Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 3000 members. I also returned to my radio show today with a great live interview with the Chief Medical Officer of JANONE (JAN) and it was a great show. This is the link to the audio recording including my discussion of the market and the very exciting story of JAN’s phenomenal NON-OPIOID Pain Med! This is the link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oCFCxnijFO4 Enjoy!! TUESDAY’S RADIO SHOW: https://youtu.be/dJGunoIqLZU v With my guest: David Weinstein on Bio-Hacking !!
Tonight’s closing comment video: https://youtu.be/rEftfx47Vdc
SECTORS: We started off the day with Retail sales +.6%, a slight disappointment, although the retail sector was mixed to higher. UAA was a big winner on the back of a new line of women’s basketball shoes and finished the day $12.29 +.63 (5.4%). FDX and ADBE went in separate directions even though they both blew away their earnings numbers. FDX helped drive the Transports to a new high today and finished $250.30 +13.63 (5.8%). ADBE went the other way after the stock moved up to $522 +25 in post market trading but when it opened this morning it could only make it to $505.50 and then fell to 478 by 11:00 and worked its way down to close $476, literally only pennies off the low and -21.67 (4.33%), and almost 50 off the extended hours high. Facebook has some problems with the FTC and that weighed on the stock and today several celebrities calling for a 1-day boycott of the social media site. Whatever it was, the stock closed near its low for the day at $263.52 -8.90 (3.3%). GE gave guidance for cash-flow positive during this 2nd half and the market liked it, sending it up 10.7% at $6.75 +.65. There were two IPOs today for cloud-based software. FROG was priced at $4 and the stock opened $71, traded up to $77 before a bit of a selloff to finish $64.33, or 46% over its pricing. SNOWFLAKE grabbed all the attention being offered at $120 after raising the price several times and then opening $240, moving up to 319 before selling off to close $253.93 133.9% above its offering.
FOOD SUPPLY CHAIN was LOWER with TSN -.04, BGS +,71. FLO +.14, CPB -.09, CAG -.07, MDLZ -.12, KHC -.41, CALM +1.24, JJSF -.12, SAFM -.12, HRL -.36, SJM -2.40, PPC -.04, KR -.58, and PBJ $32.87 -.26 (.78%).
BIOPHARMA was MIXED with BIIB -2.06, ABBV -.82, REGN _10.75, ISRG -24.18, GILD -.65, MYL +.13, TEVA +.13, VRTX +.70, BHC +.64, INCY -1.49, ICPT +.73, LABU+3.74, and IBB $136.70 +.63 (.46%). CANNABIS: was HIGHER with TLRY +.42, CGC +.28, CRON +.04, GWPH -1.23, ACB -.05, NBEV +.03, CURLF +.31, KERN +.18, and MJ $11.43 +.07 (.62%).
DEFENSE: was HIGHER with LMT +3.06, GD +1.64, TXT +/.54, NOC +5.48, BWXT +.55, TDY +2.25, RTX +1.81, and ITA $167.67 +3.01 (1.83%).
RETAIL: was MIXED with M +.13, JWN +.36, KSS +.89, DDS -.21, WMT -.48, TGT -.60, TJX +.50, RL +.65, UAA +.63, LULU -4.49, TPR +1.64, CPRI +1.04, XRT M$51.05 +.24 (.47%).
FAANG & MEGA-CAP were LOWER with GOOGL -23.03, AMZN -70.13, AAPL -2.74, FB -8.02, NFLX -10.69, NVDA -15.82, TSLA -5.02, BABA +1.26, BIDU +.63, CRM +.68, CMG -2.92, BA +4.02, CAT +2.63, DIS +1.16, and XLK $114.67 -1.80 (1.55%). PLEASE BE AWARE THAT THESE PRICES ARE LATE MARKET QUOTES AND DO NOT REPRESENT THE 4:00 CLOSES.
FINANCIALS were HIGHER with GS +3.19, JPM +.53, BAC +.33, MS +.73, C +1.34, PNC +2.35, AIG +1.16, TRV +1.02, AXP -.68, V -.19, and XLF $24.99 +.28 (1.13%).
OIL, $40.16 +1.88, Oil was higher all day. I am looking for about another $1.00 or so before I would consider selling it for a correction. The stocks were higher with XLE $33.94 +1.31 (4.01%).
GOLD $1,970.50 +4.30, opened higher but gave up most of the gains and while it did close up on the day, it was near the lows. I did a short update video Wed: https://youtu.be/KJgk-wmVJ4U I am still a bull on the metal, and we have a September bull call spread on using NEM 65/70 calls with a cost of $1.45, which closed today @ $2.35.
BITCOIN: closed $11,015 + 200. After breaking out over $10,000 we have had a “running correction” pushing prices toward $12,000, reaching a recovery high of $12220 Thursday, and after a day of rest in between, we resumed the rally touching $12,635, but have sold off back to support. We had 750 shares of GBTC and sold off 250 last week at $13.93 and still have 500 with a cost of $8.45. GBTC closed $12.07 +.12 today.
Tomorrow is another day.
CAM
submitted by Dashover to OptionsOnly [link] [comments]

Warning: Blockchain difficulty adjustment affecting price movements

Below are notable difficulty adjustments when hash rate fell and block times become slower for Bitcoin.
  1. 26 Mar 2020 [difficulty adjustment -15.95%, avg block time 11min 54secs]. On the 28th price crashed from $6674 to $6138 ( -8%).
  2. 8 Nov 2019 [difficulty adjustment -7.1%, avg block time 10min 46secs]. On the same day price crashed from $9234 to $8783 ( -4.88%).
  3. The next big adjustment was around Nov to Dec 2018 and there were 3 big adjustments with high block times.

Current situation:
We are 1 day 10 hours from the next difficulty adjustment. Projected difficulty adjustment is -5.61% (https://fork.lol/pow/retarget), which could indicate a small dip. However, take note that the date of last adjustment was the 5th and the 3rd halving was on the 11th, between the 5th to the 11th there was increased hashrate from miners trying to mine the final week of 12.5btc that offset the really slow block times after the halving. Therefore it will be the next difficulty adjustment after the one on the 20th that will completely reflect the slower block times after the halving. Currently the median block time taken on the 17th was around 14min (-28.5% difficulty adjustment).
For people who do not understand blockchain, basically with the Bitcoin 3rd halving, mining profitability fell for a lot of miners and they probably turned off their miners therefore the blockchain mining time became considerably slower which is reflected with slow transaction speed and higher fees as seen currently. Bitcoin sellers moving their BTC from wallet to an exchange are faced with slow transaction speed and therefore the sell pressure of BTC fell considerably which will attribute to the current price increase. There is a correlation between sell pressure and blockchain congestion (the size of the correlation is undetermined).
There is going to be a race. A race between BTC price hiking high enough to attract more miners to reduce avg block times versus the closing window of roughly 2 weeks before the next difficulty adjustment. If the price does not jump high enough, the next difficulty adjustment in the first week of June could signal a huge dip.
I am not an expert. I just did some research on the above and wanted to share with fellow Bitcoin compatriots so that we can tread with caution and not lose our shirts. I do not plan to short BTC but I will exit my BTC positions if I expect double digit negative difficulty adjustment in early June.
Please visit the original post here https://www.reddit.com/Bitcoin/comments/gm23pe/warning_blockchain_difficulty_adjustment/
There are pictures in the original post as well as 2nd halving evidence with pics. I could not post pics here. If possible please upvote the original post, a lot of people downvote it. Not sure why people downvote it, maybe veterans attempting to hide information from newcomers to fleece them of their shirt.

Update 1:>! As of writing, I have opened a small short position on Bitcoin. Stop loss around 10k, estimated take profit around 8500. The reason is because the difficulty adjustment in the next 20 hours, even though is just -5% roughly is still significant. I direct you to look into all the difficulty adjustments in the last 2 years and you will know how rare it is. The ones I caught were all listed at the very top of the post. Since it is my first time shorting BTC, I take this as a learning opportunity so that I will have some experience to face the bigger difficulty adjustment in the first week of June. Analysis into execution, even in failure I am happy.!<
Update 2: The difficulty adjustment (DA) happened roughly 6 hours ago and the sell pressure from -6% DA did not seem to be affecting the market much. However, please take a look now at the estimation for the next DA.
On https://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/dashboard/ it is estimated to be -25%.
On https://fork.lol/pow/retarget estimated to be -18%.
On https://www.blockchain.com/charts/median-confirmation-time the median block time for the last day was 16.8min.
My original proposition that the true DA of the halving can only be realized in the next DA stands and that it will be considerable. The increased sell pressure from that DA will be highly significant. That is why there is a race by current miners to get the BTC price up high enough to attract more miners to not have the DA drop too much.
Update 3: Current BTC price at $9100 ( ~39 hours after DA). Then again BTC could have dropped from all sorts of reason. However the coincidence with the DA and with all the past DA is just too high to simply shrug off as irrelevant. Anyways past result cannot predict future ones, stay safe with the trading. Will no longer check on this post.
References:
Difficulty adjustment dates taken from https://btc.com/stats/diff
Bitcoin graph history for price movement taken from coinmarketcap.
Median confirmation time (block time) taken from https://www.blockchain.com/charts/median-confirmation-time

Credits to people who assisted the analysis:
kairepaire for pointing out faster block times between 5th-11th.
babies_eater for https://fork.lol/pow/retarget
moes_tavern_wifi for https://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/dashboard/
Pantamis for https://diff.cryptothis.com/
submitted by theforwardbrain to BitcoinMarkets [link] [comments]

Zoom, Zoom, Zoom

For Trading September 2nd
Zoom, Zoom, Zoom!
New Highs for NAZ & S&P-500
WORK FROM HOME FEATURED
Today’s market was a little soft after the early futures, but the ISM number came in at 56, up from an expected 54.5 (50 is the magic number) things got a lot better quickly. Even a miss in construction spending + .1% v. 1.0% didn’t seem to matter. Tomorrow we have ADP Employment, Factory orders, and the Fed Beige book. The gains continued to build and by day’s end the DJIA was +216.64 (.76, NASDAQ +164.21 (1.4%), S&P 500 +26.34 (.76%), the Russell +16.71 (1.07%), and the DJ Transports +131.34 (1.17%). Volume was unimpressive and market internals were 9:5 up on both exchanges. The DJIA was split 17 / 13 UP with the big winners WMT +57, CRM =56, AAPL +34, and CAT +25 DP’s and the only 2 down double-digits were AMGN -16 and JNJ -13 DP’s. Retail has a big day of reports tomorrow! Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 3000 members. I also returned to my radio show today with a great live interview with the Chief Medical Officer of JANONE (JAN) and it was a great show. This is the link to the audio recording including my discussion of the market and the very exciting story of JAN’s phenomenal NON-OPIOID Pain Med! This is the link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oCFCxnijFO4 Enjoy!! TODAY’S RADIO SHOW: https://youtu.be/nwRM60J1Mu0 With my guest: Dennis Marlow!
Tonight’s closing comment video: https://youtu.be/25xcSJfcjt
SECTORS: We started the day with the news that Walmart was re-introducing their version of Amazon Prime called Walmart+. It’s $98 / year of $12.99/month and includes free shipping and same-day delivery of groceries over $35.00. Seems like an okay deal, although Prime includes Prime video and further discounts at Whole Foods and several other perks. The market loved it and the stock worked higher all day finally finishing $147.59 +8.74, a new all-time high (6.3%). ZM continued its major run trading as high as $478 before closing $457.69 +132.59 (41%). NFLX also got into the action finishing, $556.55 +26.00 (5.1%), and everyone who was looking for the next Zoom, settled on DOCU $268.80+45.80 (20%), Crowdstrike (CWRD) $143.69 +17.96 (14.28%), and Slack (WORK) $34.30 +1.46 (4.45%). The only loser in the group was TESLA, which after trading over $502, fell back for only the third red day in 3 weeks, finishing $481.49 -16.83 (3.38%) on the news that they were filing for up to $5 Billion in stock to be sold to the public. FOOD SUPPLY CHAIN was LOWER with TSN -.15, BGS -.61, FLO -.29, CPB -.99, CAG -.53, MDLZ -.14, KHC -.79, CALM +.15, JJSF -.53, SAFM +1.70, HRL -.29, SJM -2.22, PPC -.13, KR -.24 and PBJ $34.38 +.03 (.09%).
BIOPHARMA was LOWER with BIIB -8.14, ABBV -3.53, REGN -25.93, ISRG +10.74, GILD -.65, MYL -.78, TEVA -.40, VRTX -3.62, BHC -.38, INCY -3.38, ICPT =5.09 (10.2%), LABU -3.26, and IBB $133.02 -2.58 (1.90).
CANNABIS: was LOWER with TLRY -.22, CGC -.09, CRON -.12, GWPH -3.07, ACB -.49, NBEV -.04, CURLF -.17, KERN -.42, and MJ $12.33 -.30 (2.38%).
DEFENSE: was MIXED with LMT -3.45, GD +.84, TXT -.03, NOC -2.61, BWXT -.58, TDY +1.26, RTX -.48, and ITA $167.27 +.22 (.13%).
RETAIL: was HIGHER with M +.05, JWN -.78, KSS -.34, DDS +.23, WMT +9.95 (SEE ABOVE), TGT -.46, TJX +.50, RL +.34, UAA +.44, LULU +16.08 (4.28%), TPR +.02, CPRI -.02 and XRT $52.97 +1.18 (2.28%).
FAANG and Big Cap: were HIGHER with GOOGL +30.47, AMZN +58.24, AAPL +5.46, FB +3.50, NFLX +27.04, NVDA +10.46, TSLA -16.62, BABA +11.20, BIDU +2.36, CRM +9.15, CMG +66.84, BA +.33, CAT +3.76, DIS +1.68, and XLK $126.20 +2.65 (2.14%). PLEASE BE AWARE THAT THESE PRICES ARE LATE MARKET QUOTES AND DO NOT REPRESENT THE 4:00 CLOSES.
FINANCIALS were HIGHER with GS -.02, JPM -.17, BAC -.02, MS +.32, C +.08, PNC +.40, AIG +.01, TRV -1.35, AXP +.88, V +1.51, and XLF $25.14 +.08 (.32%).
OIL, $42.76 + .15. Oil was higher in today’s trading before we fell to the middle of the day’s range. Some of the gains that were storm related were taken back without the shortages that generally occur during the hurricane season. The stocks were LOWER with XLE $35.41 -.24 (.67%).
GOLD $1,978.90 +.30, rose early in the session and moved higher to the 2,001 range before falling back to close midrange. I am still a bull on the metal, and we have a September bull call spread on using NEM 65/70 calls with a cost of $1.45, which closed today @ $2.33.
BITCOIN: closed $12,075 + 240. After breaking out over $10,000 we have had a “running correction” pushing prices toward $12,000, reaching a recovery high of $12220 Thursday, and after a day of rest in between, we resumed the rally touching $12,635, but have sold off back to support. We had 750 shares of GBTC and sold off 250 last week at $13.93 and still have 500 with a cost of $8.45. GBTC closed $13.85 + .32 today.
Just a quick mention about two commodity related trades discussed in last night’s Weekly Insights: Coffee continued higher again today closing $131.40 + 2.30 and the proxy for this is the coffee ETN: JO $39.35 +.08 (.20%). I also talked about Natural Gas being ready for a pullback, and after yesterday’s reversal it traded up to $2.675 before reversing back down and closing $2.527 - .103. It may not be done testing the gap it left near $2.40. Our proxy for this is UNG, which traded up to $14.04 before turning back down to close $13.58 -.56 and closer to the lows.
Tomorrow is another day.
CAM
submitted by Dashover to OptionsOnly [link] [comments]

Some perceived catalysts for MARA

Firstly, let me say, I hate how energy-intensive Bitcoin is and would never support the market for mining it in the long-term. However, below are what I believe to be a series of perceived catalysts for MARA as a swing play.
Yes, some are more compelling than others. And yes, some should never even be graced with the name 'catalyst', but in the era of Lambos and rocketships, they will very much (unfortunately) be taken as such by those more naive to the space.
What does MARA do?
MARA mines Bitcoin.
What is Bitcoin?
In essence, a digital currency. A form of value not governed by any government or centralized institution. Hopefully this isn't news to you, but if not, here is a good place to start.
What is mining?
In essence, the process that is required to generate new bitcoins (better explanation here). Much like mining for gold or drilling for oil, you need to follow a process in order to generate more Bitcoin. Much like other commodities too, the price that they are selling for has a big impact on how profitable miners are.
Why MARA, why now?
Bitcoin has been flirting with the $10,000 mark for some time now. $10k for Bitcoin is a bit like $1 for a penny stock. It's tough to break, but once you do, a lot of heads start to turn. If Bitcoin moves, MARA is more than probably going to follow suit.
Catalysts
submitted by pfcrock to pennystocks [link] [comments]

For Trading April 2nd

For Trading April 2nd
Back to the Doldrums!
All Day Selloff
Banks and Retail Hard Hit
Today was another day the carryover from yesterday never gave it a chance to recover. News was not good really anywhere, but none much worse than what CCL had to pay in the marketplace to raise $4billion. I’m assuming that they are using their ships as collateral and it still cost 12%. From my perspective that is an almost unheard-of number for such an asset rich company, and the stock showed it finishing $8.80 4.37 (33%). There were also a couple of smaller oil deals that chaptered today, leading to the expectation that more will be on the way. All 11 S&P sectors were lower with the surprise being that the leaders on the downside were the normally “safe” groups like Utilities -7.7%, real estate -7.4% and banking -6.4%. There was clearly a “flight to safety with the bonds strong all day and the 10-year falling below .60% and the 5-yr notes .375%. One surprise was a late day rally in the Oil which had briefly broken the $20 level only to rally back and head toward $21.55 +1.05. Market internals were lopsided on NYSE at 13:1 and slightly better on NASDAQ close to 6:1.
Volume picked up a bit but at the end of the day it was roughly 9:1 negative. Also not helping matters was Mr. Trump’s comments on the fact that were we going to have to weather the next two weeks of “very painful” statistics in terms of fatalities. He is meeting with CEOs of major Oil companies on Friday, if they’re not smart enough to travel to Washington. XRX is also withdrawing its offer for HP, Marriott (MAR $69.15 -5.66 (7.6%) confessed to yet another security breach affecting 5.2 million customers and Macy’s (M) is being dropped from the S&P 500 index.
The final numbers were DJIA -973.65 (4.44%), NASDAQ -339.62 (4.41%), S&P500 -114.09 (4.41%), the Russell -81.11 (7.03%) and the DJ Transports -379.74 (4.91%). The DJIA was 29 down and WMT the only gainer. The biggest losers were the usual suspects with BA -125, AAPL -91 and UNH -79 DP’s.
Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 800 members.
SECTORS:
BIOPHARMA: was LOWER with only REGN +8.36 (1.71%) AND INCY + .95 (1.3%) the only winners. On the downside we had BIIB -23.11 (7.3%), ABBV -2.77 (3.64%), ISRG -36.95 (7.46%), MYL -.67 (4.69%), TEVA -.47 (5.23, VRTX -12.47 (5.24%), BHC -1.75 (11.29%), ICPT -4.56 (7.24%), LABU -3.24 (14.37%) and IBB $103.75 -3.99 (3.7%).
CANNABIS: This group was LOWER With only the software service KERN the only winner +.30 (1.76%) while TLRY -.96 (13.95%), CGC -.84 (5.83%), CRON -.36, GWPH -2.32, ACB -.06, PYX -.32 (10.29%), NBEV -.18 (12.95%), CURLF -.45 (11.45%), and MJ $10.56 -.84 (7.37%).
DEFENSE: was LOWER with RTN -7.25 (5.53%) while its merger partner UTX finished an agreement to spin out Otis Elevator and Carrier products in order to qualify for the merger and UTX was $91.45 +35.25 (62.72%). The deal closed Friday. ITA was $136.77 -7.08 (4.92%).
RETAIL was LOWER with only WMT +1.51 (1.33%) and TGT +2.33 (2.51%) while the rest of the group was lead lower by M -.33 (6.72%) after being kicked out of the S&P500, JWN -2.04 (13.30%), KSS -1.44 (8.87%), JCP -.03 (8.33%), TJX -3.21 (6.71%), RL -1.44 (1.71%, UAA -.72 (7.82%), LULU -4.99 (2.63%), TPR -1.65 (12.74%), CPRI -1.87 (17.33%) and XRT $28.03 -1.75 (5.88%).
FAANG and Big Cap: were LOWER with GOOGL -58.95, AMZN -40.72, AAPL -11.45, FB -5.82, NFLX -9.80, NVDA -17.90, IBM -5.23, TSLA -38.41 (7.33%), BABA -5.99, BIDU -1.89, BA -16.19, CAT -4.04, DIS -.85, and XLK $76.76 -3.61 (4.44%).
FINANCIALS were LOWER with GS -8.11, JPM -5.03, BAC -1.24, MS -2.10, C -3.02, PNC -8.72 (9.11%), AIG -2.26 (9.32%), TRV -4.14, AXP -6.81, and XLF $19.55 -1.27 (6.1(%).
OIL, $20.31 -.17. The stocks were LOWER even with the price of Oil reasonably stable. The stocks were CVX -2.46, XOM +.14, OXY -.57 (4.92%), OAS -.045, NBL -.04, MRO -.09, MPC -2.33 (9.86%), RIG -.06, APA -.04, BP +.32, and XLE $27.62 -1.44 $.96%).
METALS, GOLD: $1,591.40 -5.20. After the recent gains, Gold has failed to break through the highs around $1700 and have fallen back. I will reassess and look for a new entry point.
BITCOIN: closed $6,210 -265. We traded in another short range again today and finished mid-range on the day. While I want to add the 350 sold just over a week ago, I want to wait and see some stabilization. We still own 400 GBTC with an average of $8.06. GBTC closed $6.51 -.61 today.
Tomorrow is another day.
CAM
submitted by Dashover to options [link] [comments]

Warning: Blockchain difficulty adjustment affecting price movement

Warning: Blockchain difficulty adjustment affecting price movement
Below are notable difficulty adjustments when hash rate fell and block times become slower for Bitcoin.
  1. 26 Mar 2020 [difficulty adjustment -15.95%, avg block time 11min 54secs]. On the 28th price crashed from $6674 to $6138 ( -8%).
  2. 8 Nov 2019 [difficulty adjustment -7.1%, avg block time 10min 46secs]. On the same day price crashed from $9234 to $8783 ( -4.88%).
  3. The next big adjustment was around Nov to Dec 2018 and there were 3 big adjustments with high block times.
  • 19 Dec 2018 [-9.56%, avg block time 11min 3secs]
  • 3 Dec 2018 [-15.13%, avg block time 11min 47secs]
  • 17 Nov 2018 [-7.39%, avg block time 10min 48secs]
  • There was huge drop off starting on 14th Nov all the way to a bottom on 14-15th Dec ($6351 to $3288 around -48%).

Current situation:
We are 1 day 10 hours from the next difficulty adjustment. Projected difficulty adjustment is -5.61% (https://fork.lol/pow/retarget), which could indicate a small dip. However, take note that the date of last adjustment was the 5th and the 3rd halving was on the 11th, between the 5th to the 11th there was increased hashrate from miners trying to mine the final week of 12.5btc that offset the really slow block times after the halving. Therefore it will be the next difficulty adjustment after the one on the 20th that will completely reflect the slower block times after the halving. Currently the median block time taken on the 17th was around 14min (-28.5% difficulty adjustment).

https://preview.redd.it/ysnv85wh0lz41.jpg?width=597&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e130b077f9dc2fc9d02666ef89e6f9249a05f535
For people who do not understand blockchain, basically with the Bitcoin 3rd halving, mining profitability fell for a lot of miners and they probably turned off their miners therefore the blockchain mining time became considerably slower which is reflected with slow transaction speed and higher fees as seen currently. Bitcoin sellers moving their BTC from wallet to an exchange are faced with slow transaction speed and therefore the sell pressure of BTC fell considerably which will attribute to the current price increase. There is a correlation between sell pressure and blockchain congestion (the size of the correlation is undetermined).
There is going to be a race. A race between BTC price hiking high enough to attract more miners to reduce avg block times versus the closing window of roughly 2 weeks before the next difficulty adjustment. If the price does not jump high enough, the next difficulty adjustment in the first week of June could signal a huge dip.
I am not an expert. I just did some research on the above and wanted to share with fellow Bitcoin compatriots so that we can tread with caution and not lose our shirts. I do not plan to short BTC but I will exit my BTC positions if I expect double digit negative difficulty adjustment in early June.

Bitcoin 2nd halving evidence:

2nd halving falls between the 5th and the 19th adjustment so it is only reflected on the 3rd of Aug difficulty adjustment ( -5.43%).

See the dip on the 3rd of August. Price fell from $600 to $533 about 11% drop.
Update 1:>! As of writing, I have opened a small short position on Bitcoin. Stop loss around 10k, estimated take profit around 8500. The reason is because the difficulty adjustment in the next 20 hours, even though is just -5% roughly is still significant. I direct you to look into all the difficulty adjustments in the last 2 years and you will know how rare it is. The ones I caught were all listed at the very top of the post. Since it is my first time shorting BTC, I take this as a learning opportunity so that I will have some experience to face the bigger difficulty adjustment in the first week of June. Analysis into execution, even in failure I am happy.!<
Update 2: The difficulty adjustment (DA) happened roughly 6 hours ago and the sell pressure from -6% DA did not seem to be affecting the market much. However, please take a look now at the estimation for the next DA.
On https://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/dashboard/ it is estimated to be -25%.
On https://fork.lol/pow/retarget estimated to be -18%.
On https://www.blockchain.com/charts/median-confirmation-time the median block time for the last day was 16.8min.
My original proposition that the true DA of the halving can only be realized in the next DA stands and that it will be considerable. The increased sell pressure from that DA will be highly significant. That is why there is a race by current miners to get the BTC price up high enough to attract more miners to not have the DA drop too much.
References:
Difficulty adjustment dates taken from https://btc.com/stats/diff
Bitcoin graph history for price movement taken from coinmarketcap.
Median confirmation time (block time) taken from https://www.blockchain.com/charts/median-confirmation-time

Credits to people who assisted the analysis:
kairepaire for pointing out faster block times between 5th-11th.
babies_eater for https://fork.lol/pow/retarget
moes_tavern_wifi for https://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/dashboard/
Pantamis for https://diff.cryptothis.com/
submitted by theforwardbrain to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

For Trading April 24th

OIL Rebound Continues!
Stock Rally Falls Short
INTC Beats, But Poor Guidance
Today’s market looked a little better than I thought it should with the 3rd day out of 5 trying to move over the 50-day MA and failed. While the DJIA was +39.44 (.17%), the only other gainer was the Russell +12.54 (1.04%) with NASDAQ -.63 (.01%) and S&P 500 -1.51 (.05%). The DJ Transports were + 39.44 (.17%), but also near the lows. Market internals were positive at 1:6:1 on NYSE and 5:3 on NASDAQ. Volume was in line with the past several days. Energy, industrials and communication services were strong and consumer staples, real estate and utilities were the weak sisters. The DJIA was 15 down, 14 up and PG unchanged. The big losers were MCD -31 and WMT – 21DPs with UNH +55 and BA +20 DPs. In the news today we had new initial claims for unemployment jumped 810,000 to 4.42 million and new home sales were down 15.4%, and slightly worse than expected.
Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 1900 members. I also did this video titled “How to survive being an options trader and not blow up your account,” over the long weekend. I think it’s very informative as a guide to stock selection and option choices. The link is https://youtu.be/Y7H9RpWfLlo Enjoy!!
Tonight’s closing comment video https://youtu.be/mAsxHW461e8
SECTORS: Earnings were a feature again with INTC the big name after today’s close and although there was a beat on both top and bottom lines, guidance was a disappointment and the stock, which has rallied off the lows near $44 to close today $59.04 -1.06 fell further to trade $55.26 and is currently $55.95 -3.35 (5.7%). Edwards Lifesciences beat and after a move from the recent lows at $155 had closed the day $221.04 +4.52 (2.09%) it bolted higher to trade $238.00 and is currently $230 +8.96, an additional 4%. Gilead (GILD) was lower after trading $84.00 earlier in the day, and the World Health Org (WHO) mistakenly published a report that the trial in China was ended and the drug, Remdesivir, was a flop. It immediately fell to -6.2 and was halted at 12:46 for volatility. After hitting 74.40 it moved back to close $77.78 -3.53 (4.34%). ZM had a solid day on the news that it had reached 300MM users. Zoom closed at another new high at $169.09 +18.84 (12.54%). Last, Google reported after hours that they were slashing their marketing budget by 50% in the 2nd half of the year. The stock closed $1217.17 +12.76 (1%) but is now $1240 –29.85 (2.46%).
BIOPHARMA: was MIXED with BIIB -5,76, ABBV +.41, REGN +7.44, ISRG +1.09, GILD (see above), MYL +.39, TEVA +.34, VRTX -1.49, BHC -.04, INCY +.93, ICPT -.14, LABU -.44 and IBB 123.00 -.58 (.47%).
CANNABIS: This group was MIXED with TLRY +.02, CGC -.20, CRON +.05, GWPH +.44, ACB -.001, PYX -.14, NBEV -.01, CURLF +.01, KERN +.49, and MJ $11.50 +.06 (.52%).
DEFENSE: was MIXED with LMT -4.40, RTX -.44, GD -3.37, TXT +1.21, NOC -7.26, BWXT +.62, TDY +3.38 and ITA $149.53 +.50 (.34%).
RETAIL: was HIGHER with the exception of the discounters. M +.06, JWN +1.13, KSS +.53, DDS +3.14 (13.96%), JCP +.01, WMT -3.38, TGT -3.09, TJX -.65, RL +1.92, UAA +.19, LULU -1.13, TPR +.36, CPRI +.62 and XRT $33.18 -.12 (.36%).
FAANG and Big Cap: were LOWER with GOOGL -18.40 (see above), AMZN +25.02, AAPL -2.96, FB -.78, NFLX +2.58, NVDA -5.57, TSLA -31.56 (4.31%), BABA -5.26, BIDU -2.54, CMG -20.26, BA +1.21, CAT +1.61, DIS -.48 and XLK $86.10 -1.29 (1.48%).
FINANCIALS were LOWER with GS -2.48, JPM -.36, BAC -.02, MS -.58, C +.04, PNC +.53, AIG +.04, TRV -1.79, AXP -.04, V -1.09, and XLF $21.28 -.24 (1.12%).
OIL, $16.50 +2.72. Oil was the BIGGEST STORY of the day again with the June contract taking over and recovering from what was surely forced liquidation in May. Remember, that this will happen again unless the market improves before May 19th. Oil stocks were higher with CVX +1.94, XOM +1.35, OXY +.78, OAS + .56 (197%), NBL +.64, MRO +.33, MPC +.93, RIG +.04, APA +1.23 (13%), BP -.03, HES +2.40 (6.09%) and XLE $34.47 +1.01 (3.02%).
METALS, GOLD: $1,745.40 +7.10 After the recent gains, Gold broke solidly above $1,700 and traded as high as $1788 last Wednesday. Tuesday night it fell and hit $1,666 before coming back up $20. Today it rallied again and I still expect much higher prices. We are long NEM.
BITCOIN: closed $7540 +425. After we traded in the uptrend, I mentioned this weekend that I felt we’d have to test 6750 and yesterday we hit 6465 before turning back up. Today’s action was impressive. While I want to add the 350, I still want to wait and see some stabilization. We still own 400 GBTC with an average of $8.06. GBTC closed $8.63 + .93 today.
Tomorrow is another day.
CAM
submitted by Dashover to options [link] [comments]

ENTER THE CODE 😎N5DDU5Q😎 IN THE COMMENTS WRITE WHAT FOR REGISTRATION BY THE 3000 POINT CODE GIVE

https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/swissborg/ GROWING COIN READ ALL ALL UNDERSTANDING AND INTERESTING !!!

https://swissborg.com/chsb-overview?omnisendAttributionID=email_campaign_5ed7551a4c7fa47fca6d18c4&omnisendContactID=5e98526dab617128db19f478&omnisendScopeID=5d63f4888653ed527ebdc81d_7_&utm_campaign=campaign: 0054 - Newsletter June [Non-CAP] (5ed7551a4c7fa47fca6d18c2) & utm_medium = email & utm_source = omnisend incinerate !!!

ENTER THE CODE 😎N5DDU5Q😎 IN THE COMMENTS WRITE WHAT FOR REGISTRATION BY THE 3000 POINT CODE GIVE

https://swissborg.com/downloads BIT BITCOIN GAME WITH A PRIZE FUND OF 500,000 T DOLLARS. OPEN THE APPLICATION ONCE AFTER 24 HOURS GET 200 POINT TO PUT THEM INTO PREDICTING BIT PRICES AND SO FURTHER.

The higher your rating, the more Bitcoins you win

Complete tasks to earn CHSB tokens to launch your crypto portfolio in the upcoming SwissBorg Wealth app

And don’t forget that the end of our Community Application Contest and the distribution of awards in the Wealth app will occur in the 2nd and 3rd quarters of 2020.

We are pleased to announce the first ALREADY SECOND issue of the Protect and Burn CHSB!

For the first time in the history of our token, we successfully completed the recording.

Unlike the more traditional buyback and buyback mechanisms, we will buy back on exchanges and burn CHSB every time the price moves to the bearish zone.

We also created a web page so you can accurately track how many CHSBs have been recorded, put on the card, and other valuable information, such as details of the recording transactions.

Bitcoin prices and market fluctuations tracked daily

Access to all useful trend forecasting tools, including machine-based SwissBorg Predictor

🏆 How to get to the podium 🏆
To play the game, you predict whether the price of Bitcoin will rise or fall over the next 24 hours. Successful predictions bring you points that increase your ranking in the competition.

🔒 Safety first 🔒
With the SwissBorg Community app, you never run the risk of losing your money. You will learn how to read the bitcoin price chart thanks to our simplified daily bitcoin analysis, which includes general market trends, community trends and the Swissborg Cyborg Predictor forecast.

👉 What is the SwissBorg Wealth app 👈
A simple and safe way to buy, manage and sell your FIAT (cash), bitcoins, Ethereum, CHSB tokens and other crypto assets at the best price.


Community: We believe in ecosystems that seek to maximize the benefits of having community members tokens, rather than privilege shareholders. We believe in an investment world that eliminates individualism, greed, exclusivity, and fear, while enhancing trust, satisfaction, inclusiveness, and freedom.

Freedom: With our intuitive interface and sophisticated financial mechanism, our upcoming Wealth app gives you the freedom to buy bitcoins and other crypto assets with ease and at the lowest price.

Confidence: We use cutting-edge technology to create products that are fast, stable, and provide institutional security.

Faith: We believe that the best way to challenge the old investment industry is to help you make informed decisions. Introduced in the Wealth App, we conduct daily market analyzes, blogs, videos and documentaries to expand your investment knowledge.

Are you ready to take the first steps into the future of finance? Join us! IGNITION
submitted by Grutttt to CryptoAirdrop [link] [comments]

TRUE historical data on yearly lows (correcting repetitive historical false information spread on reddit and twitter)

Recently, wrong historical data on the alleged Bitcoin yearly lows could be repetitively read in ill-researched or "blindly copy-pasted" posts and tweets, e.g. falsely claiming a yearly low for 2013 of $65, where $13 is the correct value (wrong by a factor of 5)!
Here is the correct data:
TRUE yearly lows (first historically recorded trade occurred at MtGox exchange on 17th July 2010; bitstamp exchange started operation on 13 Sep 2011*):
*not included: Bitcoin prices of around $0.003 on Bitcoin USD markets recorded since 25th April 2010, consistent with famous two Bitcoin pizzas from 22nd May 2010 worth $30 for 10,000 BTC.
Yearly absolute lows (just omitting obvious implausible data flaws) - not recommended because short outliers of very low trade volumes can bias the view of the real market situation:
Yearly lows of daily weighted averages - more useful because short outliers with very low volumes are not biasing the statistics:
  • 2010: $0.05 (MtGox, 17th & 24th & 25th & 26th July)
  • 2011: $0.29 (MtGox, 4th January)
  • 2011: $2.24 (bitstamp, 21st October)
  • 2012: $4.33 (bitstamp, 19th February)
  • 2013: $13.01 (bitstamp, 1st January)
  • 2014: $305.81 (bitstamp, 5th October)
  • 2015: $189.84 (bitstamp, 14th January)
  • 2016: $370.21 (bitstamp, 3rd February)
  • 2017: $783.46 (bitstamp, 12th January)
  • 2018: $3171.72 (bitstamp, 15th December)
  • 2019: $3365.06 (bitstamp, 7th February)
  • 2020: <= $7030.21 (bitstamp, 2nd January)
Change rates:
  • 2011: x 5.8 (+480%)
  • 2012: x 14.9 (+1390%)
  • 2013: x 3.0 (+200%)
  • 2014: x 23.5 (+2250%)
  • 2015: x 0.6 (-40%)
  • 2016: x 2.0 (+100%)
  • 2017: x 2.1 (+110%)
  • 2018: x 4.0 (+300%)
  • 2019: x 1.1 (+10%)
  • 2020: <= x 2.1 (<= +110%)
How to do this yourself:
Example for 2013:
https://bitcoincharts.com/charts/bitstampUSD#rg60zczsg2013-01-01zeg2013-12-31ztgSzm1g10zm2g25zv
Click on "Load raw data" below the chart, copy-paste to spreadsheet like Libre Calc or MS Excel or Google documents, apply "min" function on the column of daily lows or daily weighted averages.
For year 2013 on bitstamp, the yearly low was reached on 1st January 2013: - Daily absolute low = $12.77 - Daily weighted average = $13.01
submitted by Amichateur to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

CHSB Token: TOP 100 on CMC, Thanks to YOU ​​!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

CHSB Token: TOP 100 on CMC, Thanks to YOU ​​!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!

8 cents 4 days ago it cost 4 cents

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https://swissborg.com/chsb-overview?omnisendAttributionID=email_campaign_5ed7551a4c7fa47fca6d18c4&omnisendContactID=5e98526dab617128db19f478&omnisendScopeID=5d63f4888653ed527ebdc81d_7_&utm_campaign=campaign%3A+0054+-+Newsletter+June+%5BNon-CAP%5D+%285ed7551a4c7fa47fca6d18c2%29&utm_medium=email&utm_source=omnisend incinerate !!!

ENTER THE CODE 😎N5DDU5Q😎 IN THE COMMENTS WRITE WHAT FOR REGISTRATION BY THE 3000 POINT CODE GIVE

https://swissborg.com/downloads BIT BITCOIN GAME WITH A PRIZE FUND OF 500,000 T DOLLARS. OPEN THE APPLICATION ONCE AFTER 24 HOURS GET 200 POINT TO PUT THEM INTO PREDICTING BIT PRICES AND SO FURTHER.

The higher your rating, the more Bitcoins you win

Complete tasks to earn CHSB tokens to launch your crypto portfolio in the upcoming SwissBorg Wealth app

And don’t forget that the end of our Community Application Contest and the distribution of awards in the Wealth app will occur in the 2nd and 3rd quarters of 2020.

We are pleased to announce the first ALREADY SECOND issue of the Protect and Burn CHSB!

For the first time in the history of our token, we successfully completed the recording.

Unlike the more traditional buyback and buyback mechanisms, we will buy back on exchanges and burn CHSB every time the price moves to the bearish zone.

We also created a web page so you can accurately track how many CHSBs have been recorded, put on the card, and other valuable information, such as details of the recording transactions.

Bitcoin prices and market fluctuations tracked daily

Access to all useful trend forecasting tools, including machine-based SwissBorg Predictor

🏆 How to get to the podium 🏆
To play the game, you predict whether the price of Bitcoin will rise or fall over the next 24 hours. Successful predictions bring you points that increase your ranking in the competition.

🔒 Safety first 🔒
With the SwissBorg Community app, you never run the risk of losing your money. You will learn how to read the bitcoin price chart thanks to our simplified daily bitcoin analysis, which includes general market trends, community trends and the Swissborg Cyborg Predictor forecast.

👉 What is the SwissBorg Wealth app 👈
An easy and safe way to buy, manage and sell your FIAT (cash), bitcoins, Ethereum, CHSB tokens and other crypto assets at the best price.


Community: We believe in ecosystems that seek to maximize the benefits of having community members tokens, rather than privilege shareholders. We believe in an investment world that eliminates individualism, greed, exclusivity and fears while enhancing trust, satisfaction, inclusiveness and freedom.

Freedom: With our intuitive interface and sophisticated financial mechanism, our upcoming Wealth app gives you the freedom to buy bitcoins and other crypto assets with ease and at the lowest price.

Confidence: We use advanced technology to create products that are fast, stable, and provide institutional security.

Faith: We believe that the best way to challenge the old investment industry is to help you make informed decisions. Introduced in the Wealth App, we conduct daily market analysis, blogs, videos and documentaries to expand your investment knowledge.

Are you ready to take the first steps into the future of finance? Join us! IGNITION
submitted by Grutttt to CryptoAirdrop [link] [comments]

BitOffer Institute: Bitcoin Call Options Reached New Highs, Bulls Coming Soon

BitOffer Institute: Bitcoin Call Options Reached New Highs, Bulls Coming Soon
Datas showed that the trading volume of BitOffer Bitcoin call options surged. A chart of BitOffer Options holding positions provided by Lucian, the chief analyst on BitOffer, indicates that since May 13th, the holding positions of call options contract on BitOffer has continued surging. And recently, it has reached a peak of 1.5 billion USD in 2020, while the put options contract holding only had a tiny increase.
From the data above, we can see that after the bitcoins 3rd halving on May 12th, the bullish expectation of the market to the Bitcoin market kept being positive. Even after the halving, the market hovered around the $10,000 mark, the bullish expectation is still held by the investors. As Lucian analyzed, although the market remained sideways, an uptrend is still ongoing on the daily chart, and the weekly candlesticks continued increasing with a low volume, which means most of the capitals still held the Bitcoins.

https://preview.redd.it/eb67rvon3g451.png?width=1400&format=png&auto=webp&s=10bb9b0fdeadcdfc99d87cf97d6df5eb4d93d12c
Checking Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index, the index has been back above 50. After the plunge on March 12th, the market cannot stop longing bitcoins. As the longs now takes the lead, the market tends to be bullish again.
While the options trading volume increased, the performance of futures seems normal. According to the market data, the holding positions of Bitcoin Futures is 4 billion USD, grew by less than 10%. However, the latest data shows that the BitOffer Options holding positions reaches 1.5 billion USD, grew by 500%. It is obvious that the Bitcoin Options chased Bitcoin futures in a close gap. The year 2020 is the year for options trading on the Bitcoin market. The options trading is about to explode in the next 3 years.
Here is a simple comparison between Bitcoin Options and Bitcoin Futures:

https://preview.redd.it/v5nw17rq3g451.png?width=1054&format=png&auto=webp&s=7da176cf8da47a8708f6882bb637f9101be2fe82
For example:
While the Bitcoin market plunged on June 2nd, the liquidation of the futures trading reach 100 million USD, but the options trading enabled investors to earn 160 times profits.
When the market dropped by $800 in 5 mins, the change was -8%.
If you bought a 5-mins put options on BitOffer,
Then you would earn $800, compared with the $5 premium that you used to buy the options contract, the profit ratio reached 160%.
What if you short Bitcoins 100X?
The profit ratio would only be 8 times.
After realizing the disadvantage of the futures trading compared with Bitcoin Options, more and more cryptocurrency exchanges started entering the options market. BitOffer, as the first one launch Bitcoin Options, also the platform owns the highest options trading volume, now the active users reached a number near 130,000. BitOffer Options supports investors to choose the options tenor from 2-mins to 7-days. Moreover, it also enables investors to close the options contract before the expiry date. Now, Ethereum (ETH) options also has been launched on BitOffer.com.
BitOffer, a Better Offer.
submitted by Bitoffer_Official to BitOffer_Official [link] [comments]

GROWING COIN READ ALL EVERYTHING IS UNDERSTANDING AND INTERESTING !!! ENTER THE N5DDU5Q CODE IN THE COMMENTS WRITE WHAT FOR REGISTRATION BY THE 3000 POINT CODE GIVE. BIT BITCOIN GAME WITH A PRIZE FUND OF 500,000 T DOLLARS.

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https://preview.redd.it/7v3nrp8j52351.jpg?width=1184&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7c131b3d0a5b33ef392a7c9516d16fdc522f07b6
https://preview.redd.it/rbjsnaaj52351.jpg?width=826&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d3dab6bdeeaa8f164722b49e9074570127f7b141
GROWING COIN READ ALL EVERYTHING IS UNDERSTANDING AND INTERESTING !!!

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The higher your rating, the more Bitcoins you win

Complete tasks to earn CHSB tokens to launch your crypto portfolio in the upcoming SwissBorg Wealth app

And don’t forget that the end of our Community Application Contest and the distribution of awards in the Wealth app will occur in the 2nd and 3rd quarters of 2020.

https://swissborg.com/chsb-overview?omnisendAttributionID=email_campaign_5ed7551a4c7fa47fca6d18c4&omnisendContactID=5e98526dab617128db19f478&omnisendScopeID=5d63f4888653ed527ebdc81d_7_&utm_campaign=campaign%3A+0054+-+Newsletter+June+%5BNon-CAP%5D+%285ed7551a4c7fa47fca6d18c2%29&utm_medium=email&utm_source=omnisend incinerate !!!

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submitted by Grutttt to CryptoAirdrop [link] [comments]

For Trading April 2nd

For Trading April 2nd
Back to the Doldrums!
All Day Selloff
Banks and Retail Hard Hit
Today was another day the carryover from yesterday never gave it a chance to recover. News was not good really anywhere, but none much worse than what CCL had to pay in the marketplace to raise $4billion. I’m assuming that they are using their ships as collateral and it still cost 12%. From my perspective that is an almost unheard-of number for such an asset rich company, and the stock showed it finishing $8.80 4.37 (33%). There were also a couple of smaller oil deals that chaptered today, leading to the expectation that more will be on the way. All 11 S&P sectors were lower with the surprise being that the leaders on the downside were the normally “safe” groups like Utilities -7.7%, real estate -7.4% and banking -6.4%. There was clearly a “flight to safety with the bonds strong all day and the 10-year falling below .60% and the 5-yr notes .375%. One surprise was a late day rally in the Oil which had briefly broken the $20 level only to rally back and head toward $21.55 +1.05. Market internals were lopsided on NYSE at 13:1 and slightly better on NASDAQ close to 6:1.
Volume picked up a bit but at the end of the day it was roughly 9:1 negative. Also not helping matters was Mr. Trump’s comments on the fact that were we going to have to weather the next two weeks of “very painful” statistics in terms of fatalities. He is meeting with CEOs of major Oil companies on Friday, if they’re not smart enough to travel to Washington. XRX is also withdrawing its offer for HP, Marriott (MAR $69.15 -5.66 (7.6%) confessed to yet another security breach affecting 5.2 million customers and Macy’s (M) is being dropped from the S&P 500 index.
The final numbers were DJIA -973.65 (4.44%), NASDAQ -339.62 (4.41%), S&P500 -114.09 (4.41%), the Russell -81.11 (7.03%) and the DJ Transports -379.74 (4.91%). The DJIA was 29 down and WMT the only gainer. The biggest losers were the usual suspects with BA -125, AAPL -91 and UNH -79 DP’s.
Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 800 members.
SECTORS:
BIOPHARMA: was LOWER with only REGN +8.36 (1.71%) AND INCY + .95 (1.3%) the only winners. On the downside we had BIIB -23.11 (7.3%), ABBV -2.77 (3.64%), ISRG -36.95 (7.46%), MYL -.67 (4.69%), TEVA -.47 (5.23, VRTX -12.47 (5.24%), BHC -1.75 (11.29%), ICPT -4.56 (7.24%), LABU -3.24 (14.37%) and IBB $103.75 -3.99 (3.7%).
CANNABIS: This group was LOWER With only the software service KERN the only winner +.30 (1.76%) while TLRY -.96 (13.95%), CGC -.84 (5.83%), CRON -.36, GWPH -2.32, ACB -.06, PYX -.32 (10.29%), NBEV -.18 (12.95%), CURLF -.45 (11.45%), and MJ $10.56 -.84 (7.37%).
DEFENSE: was LOWER with RTN -7.25 (5.53%) while its merger partner UTX finished an agreement to spin out Otis Elevator and Carrier products in order to qualify for the merger and UTX was $91.45 +35.25 (62.72%). The deal closed Friday. ITA was $136.77 -7.08 (4.92%).
RETAIL was LOWER with only WMT +1.51 (1.33%) and TGT +2.33 (2.51%) while the rest of the group was lead lower by M -.33 (6.72%) after being kicked out of the S&P500, JWN -2.04 (13.30%), KSS -1.44 (8.87%), JCP -.03 (8.33%), TJX -3.21 (6.71%), RL -1.44 (1.71%, UAA -.72 (7.82%), LULU -4.99 (2.63%), TPR -1.65 (12.74%), CPRI -1.87 (17.33%) and XRT $28.03 -1.75 (5.88%).
FAANG and Big Cap: were LOWER with GOOGL -58.95, AMZN -40.72, AAPL -11.45, FB -5.82, NFLX -9.80, NVDA -17.90, IBM -5.23, TSLA -38.41 (7.33%), BABA -5.99, BIDU -1.89, BA -16.19, CAT -4.04, DIS -.85, and XLK $76.76 -3.61 (4.44%).
FINANCIALS were LOWER with GS -8.11, JPM -5.03, BAC -1.24, MS -2.10, C -3.02, PNC -8.72 (9.11%), AIG -2.26 (9.32%), TRV -4.14, AXP -6.81, and XLF $19.55 -1.27 (6.1(%).
OIL, $20.31 -.17. The stocks were LOWER even with the price of Oil reasonably stable. The stocks were CVX -2.46, XOM +.14, OXY -.57 (4.92%), OAS -.045, NBL -.04, MRO -.09, MPC -2.33 (9.86%), RIG -.06, APA -.04, BP +.32, and XLE $27.62 -1.44 $.96%).
METALS, GOLD: $1,591.40 -5.20. After the recent gains, Gold has failed to break through the highs around $1700 and have fallen back. I will reassess and look for a new entry point.
BITCOIN: closed $6,210 -265. We traded in another short range again today and finished mid-range on the day. While I want to add the 350 sold just over a week ago, I want to wait and see some stabilization. We still own 400 GBTC with an average of $8.06. GBTC closed $6.51 -.61 today.
Tomorrow is another day.
CAM
submitted by Dashover to swingtrading [link] [comments]

Price Analysis 5/13: BTC, ETH, XRP, BCH, BSV, LTC, EOS, XTZ, XLM

Price Analysis 5/13: BTC, ETH, XRP, BCH, BSV, LTC, EOS, XTZ, XLM
BTC/USD
Bitcoin (BTC) nosedived on May 10 and fell to a low of $8,130.58. This sharp fall triggered the stop loss on the remaining long position that was proposed to be kept at $9,000 in a previous analysis.

BTC–USD daily chart. Source: Tradingview
On May 10 and 11, the bulls aggressively defended the uptrend line. This could have led to short covering by the aggressive bears. The breakout above the 20-day EMA ($8,662) further strengthened the case for a possible retest of $10,000 levels.
The 20-day exponential moving average has started to slope up once again and the relative strength index has bounced off from close to the midpoint. This suggests that the bulls are in command and the path of least resistance is to the upside.
Above $9,200, a move to $10,000 is possible. The bears are likely to mount a stiff resistance between $10,000 and the downtrend line of the symmetrical triangle at $10,700. This zone is likely to be the real test of this up move.
The bullish view will be invalidated if the BTC/USD pair turns down and plummets below the uptrend line and the recent lows of $8,130.58. If that happens, a deeper correction to $6,471.71 is possible.
ETH/USD
The sharp fall in Ether (ETH) on May 10 broke below the support line of the channel, which triggered the suggested stop-loss on the long positions at $185. However, buying near the lows helped the biggest altcoin recover and close (UTC time) inside the channel.

ETH–USD daily chart. Source: Tradingview
On May 11, the bears again attempted to break the uptrend by dragging the 2nd-ranked cryptocurrency on CoinMarketCap below the support line of the channel. However, the bulls again bought the dip.
This could have led to short covering by the aggressive bears and follow up buying by the aggressive bulls. This has propped the ETH/USD pair above the 20-day EMA ($196). The downtrend line might offer stiff resistance but if this level is scaled, the up move can retest $227.097.
Conversely, if the pair turns down from the downtrend line, the bears are likely to make another attempt to sink the price below the channel and the recent low of $176.112. If successful, a deeper correction is likely.
XRP/USD
XRP plunged to a low of $0.17898 on May 10. This sharp decline triggered our proposed stop-loss on the long positions at $0.20. However, the positive thing is that the bulls bought the dips aggressively.

XRP–USD daily chart. Source: Tradingview
Currently, the bulls are attempting to push the 3rd-ranked cryptocurrency on CoinMarketCap above the 20-day EMA ($0.20).
If successful, an up move to the downtrend line is possible. A breakout of the downtrend line will signal strength and can result in a rally to the $0.23612-$0.24770 resistance zone.
On the other hand, if the XRP/USD pair turns down from the downtrend line, the bears will make another attempt to break the $0.17372 support. If that happens, a drop to $0.14 is possible.
BCH/USD
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) has been consolidating between $200 and $280.47 for more than a month. When the price is stuck in such a large range, traders can buy near the support and sell near the resistance.

BCH–USD daily chart. Source: Tradingview
The 5th-ranked cryptocurrency on CoinMarketCap turned down from the resistance of the range on May 9 and plunged to a low of $217.55 on May 11. Although the bulls purchased this dip, they have not been able to propel the price above the 20-day EMA ($243), which suggests a lack of momentum.
If the BCH/USD pair turns down from the current levels, a drop to $200 is possible. Conversely, if the bulls can push the price above the 20-day EMA, a move to $280.47 is likely.
XLM/USD
Stellar Lumens (XLM) has been in an uptrend for the past few weeks. With the sharp selloff on May 10 and 11, the bears attempted to change the trend but they could not sustain the price below $0.060.

XLM–USD daily chart. Source: Tradingview
This showed that the bulls were buying the dips to $0.060. On May 12, the 11th-ranked cryptocurrency on CoinMarketCap surged, which suggested that more buyers came onboard as the confidence picked up.
Currently, the up move is facing resistance at the uptrend line but the bulls have not given up much ground. This increases the possibility of a breakout of the uptrend line. If successful, the XLM/USD pair can rally to $0.076994.
The pair remains positive as long as it sustains above the $0.060 levels. A trend change will be signaled if the bears sink the pair below this support.
EOS/USD
The failure of the bulls to break above the downtrend line attracted profit booking that dragged EOS below the uptrend line and the moving averages on May 10. That triggered the suggested stop loss on the long positions at $2.50.

EOS–USD daily chart. Source: Tradingview
Currently, the bulls are struggling to push the 9th-ranked cryptocurrency on CoinMarketCap above the moving averages. This suggests a lack of demand at higher levels.
If the EOS/USD pair does not rise above the downtrend line within the next few days, the bears will make another attempt to resume the downtrend.
The 20-day EMA ($2.64) has started to turn down and the RSI has plunged into the negative territory. This suggests that the bears are in command. If the pair sustains below $2.3314, the downtrend is likely to resume.
LTC/USD
Litecoin (LTC) turned down from the downtrend line and nosedived below the moving averages and made an intraday low of $39.3920 on May 10. This triggered the recommended stop-loss on the long positions at $42.

LTC–USD daily chart. Source: Tradingview
Although the bears attempted to sink the 7th-ranked cryptocurrency on CoinMarketCap below $39 on May 10 and 11, they could not do so. This suggests that buyers stepped in closer to this level.
However, the bounce off the $39 levels has not been able to sustain above the 50-day simple moving average ($43). This suggests that demand dries up at higher levels. If the LTC/USD pair turns down from the current levels, a retest of $39 is possible. A break below this level will start a downtrend.
Conversely, if the bulls can drive the price above the downtrend line, a rally to the $50.7864-$52.2803 range is possible.
BSV/USD
Bitcoin SV (BSV) fell from close to the resistance of the range to the support of the range within two days. The bulls purchased the drop to the support of the range at $170 on May 10 and 11, which is a positive sign.

BSV–USD daily chart. Source: Tradingview
This increases the possibility of a range-bound movement in the 6th-ranked cryptocurrency on CoinMarketCap. A break above the 20-day EMA ($197) can carry the price to the top of the range at $227. Above this level, a new uptrend is likely.
Conversely, if the BSV/USD pair turns down from the current levels, the bears might make one more attempt to sink the price below $170. If successful, a downtrend will begin.
XTZ/USD
Tezos (XTZ) plunged below the critical $2.55900337 support on May 10, which triggered the stop loss on the remaining long positions at $2.55 as suggested in the previous analysis.
XTZ–USD daily chart. Source: Tradingview
Although the bears broke below the support line of the ascending channel on May 10 and 11, they could sustain the price below it. This suggests that the bulls are attempting to keep the 10th-ranked cryptocurrency on CoinMarketCap inside the channel.
If the bulls can break out and sustain the price above the 20-day EMA ($2.59), it will increase the possibility of a move back to $3.07369598. Hence, this can offer a buying opportunity.
This bullish view will be invalidated if the XTZ/USD pair turns around from the 20-day EMA and breaks below the 50-day SMA ($2.23). Such a move might signal the start of a new downtrend.
Come and trade on ByteTrade: https://www.byte-trade.com/
submitted by ByteBulls to ByteBullsCrypto [link] [comments]

For Trading April 2nd

For Trading April 2nd
Back to the Doldrums!
All Day Selloff
Banks and Retail Hard Hit
Today was another day the carryover from yesterday never gave it a chance to recover. News was not good really anywhere, but none much worse than what CCL had to pay in the marketplace to raise $4billion. I’m assuming that they are using their ships as collateral and it still cost 12%. From my perspective that is an almost unheard-of number for such an asset rich company, and the stock showed it finishing $8.80 4.37 (33%). There were also a couple of smaller oil deals that chaptered today, leading to the expectation that more will be on the way. All 11 S&P sectors were lower with the surprise being that the leaders on the downside were the normally “safe” groups like Utilities -7.7%, real estate -7.4% and banking -6.4%. There was clearly a “flight to safety with the bonds strong all day and the 10-year falling below .60% and the 5-yr notes .375%. One surprise was a late day rally in the Oil which had briefly broken the $20 level only to rally back and head toward $21.55 +1.05. Market internals were lopsided on NYSE at 13:1 and slightly better on NASDAQ close to 6:1.
Volume picked up a bit but at the end of the day it was roughly 9:1 negative. Also not helping matters was Mr. Trump’s comments on the fact that were we going to have to weather the next two weeks of “very painful” statistics in terms of fatalities. He is meeting with CEOs of major Oil companies on Friday, if they’re not smart enough to travel to Washington. XRX is also withdrawing its offer for HP, Marriott (MAR $69.15 -5.66 (7.6%) confessed to yet another security breach affecting 5.2 million customers and Macy’s (M) is being dropped from the S&P 500 index.
The final numbers were DJIA -973.65 (4.44%), NASDAQ -339.62 (4.41%), S&P500 -114.09 (4.41%), the Russell -81.11 (7.03%) and the DJ Transports -379.74 (4.91%). The DJIA was 29 down and WMT the only gainer. The biggest losers were the usual suspects with BA -125, AAPL -91 and UNH -79 DP’s.
Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 800 members.
SECTORS:
BIOPHARMA: was LOWER with only REGN +8.36 (1.71%) AND INCY + .95 (1.3%) the only winners. On the downside we had BIIB -23.11 (7.3%), ABBV -2.77 (3.64%), ISRG -36.95 (7.46%), MYL -.67 (4.69%), TEVA -.47 (5.23, VRTX -12.47 (5.24%), BHC -1.75 (11.29%), ICPT -4.56 (7.24%), LABU -3.24 (14.37%) and IBB $103.75 -3.99 (3.7%).
CANNABIS: This group was LOWER With only the software service KERN the only winner +.30 (1.76%) while TLRY -.96 (13.95%), CGC -.84 (5.83%), CRON -.36, GWPH -2.32, ACB -.06, PYX -.32 (10.29%), NBEV -.18 (12.95%), CURLF -.45 (11.45%), and MJ $10.56 -.84 (7.37%).
DEFENSE: was LOWER with RTN -7.25 (5.53%) while its merger partner UTX finished an agreement to spin out Otis Elevator and Carrier products in order to qualify for the merger and UTX was $91.45 +35.25 (62.72%). The deal closed Friday. ITA was $136.77 -7.08 (4.92%).
RETAIL was LOWER with only WMT +1.51 (1.33%) and TGT +2.33 (2.51%) while the rest of the group was lead lower by M -.33 (6.72%) after being kicked out of the S&P500, JWN -2.04 (13.30%), KSS -1.44 (8.87%), JCP -.03 (8.33%), TJX -3.21 (6.71%), RL -1.44 (1.71%, UAA -.72 (7.82%), LULU -4.99 (2.63%), TPR -1.65 (12.74%), CPRI -1.87 (17.33%) and XRT $28.03 -1.75 (5.88%).
FAANG and Big Cap: were LOWER with GOOGL -58.95, AMZN -40.72, AAPL -11.45, FB -5.82, NFLX -9.80, NVDA -17.90, IBM -5.23, TSLA -38.41 (7.33%), BABA -5.99, BIDU -1.89, BA -16.19, CAT -4.04, DIS -.85, and XLK $76.76 -3.61 (4.44%).
FINANCIALS were LOWER with GS -8.11, JPM -5.03, BAC -1.24, MS -2.10, C -3.02, PNC -8.72 (9.11%), AIG -2.26 (9.32%), TRV -4.14, AXP -6.81, and XLF $19.55 -1.27 (6.1(%).
OIL, $20.31 -.17. The stocks were LOWER even with the price of Oil reasonably stable. The stocks were CVX -2.46, XOM +.14, OXY -.57 (4.92%), OAS -.045, NBL -.04, MRO -.09, MPC -2.33 (9.86%), RIG -.06, APA -.04, BP +.32, and XLE $27.62 -1.44 $.96%).
METALS, GOLD: $1,591.40 -5.20. After the recent gains, Gold has failed to break through the highs around $1700 and have fallen back. I will reassess and look for a new entry point.
BITCOIN: closed $6,210 -265. We traded in another short range again today and finished mid-range on the day. While I want to add the 350 sold just over a week ago, I want to wait and see some stabilization. We still own 400 GBTC with an average of $8.06. GBTC closed $6.51 -.61 today.
Tomorrow is another day.
CAM
submitted by Dashover to OptionsOnly [link] [comments]

For Trading April 24th

OIL Rebound Continues!
Stock Rally Falls Short
INTC Beats, But Poor Guidance
Today’s market looked a little better than I thought it should with the 3rd day out of 5 trying to move over the 50-day MA and failed. While the DJIA was +39.44 (.17%), the only other gainer was the Russell +12.54 (1.04%) with NASDAQ -.63 (.01%) and S&P 500 -1.51 (.05%). The DJ Transports were + 39.44 (.17%), but also near the lows. Market internals were positive at 1:6:1 on NYSE and 5:3 on NASDAQ. Volume was in line with the past several days. Energy, industrials and communication services were strong and consumer staples, real estate and utilities were the weak sisters. The DJIA was 15 down, 14 up and PG unchanged. The big losers were MCD -31 and WMT – 21DPs with UNH +55 and BA +20 DPs. In the news today we had new initial claims for unemployment jumped 810,000 to 4.42 million and new home sales were down 15.4%, and slightly worse than expected.
Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 1900 members. I also did this video titled “How to survive being an options trader and not blow up your account,” over the long weekend. I think it’s very informative as a guide to stock selection and option choices. The link is https://youtu.be/Y7H9RpWfLlo Enjoy!!
Tonight’s closing comment video https://youtu.be/mAsxHW461e8
SECTORS: Earnings were a feature again with INTC the big name after today’s close and although there was a beat on both top and bottom lines, guidance was a disappointment and the stock, which has rallied off the lows near $44 to close today $59.04 -1.06 fell further to trade $55.26 and is currently $55.95 -3.35 (5.7%). Edwards Lifesciences beat and after a move from the recent lows at $155 had closed the day $221.04 +4.52 (2.09%) it bolted higher to trade $238.00 and is currently $230 +8.96, an additional 4%. Gilead (GILD) was lower after trading $84.00 earlier in the day, and the World Health Org (WHO) mistakenly published a report that the trial in China was ended and the drug, Remdesivir, was a flop. It immediately fell to -6.2 and was halted at 12:46 for volatility. After hitting 74.40 it moved back to close $77.78 -3.53 (4.34%). ZM had a solid day on the news that it had reached 300MM users. Zoom closed at another new high at $169.09 +18.84 (12.54%). Last, Google reported after hours that they were slashing their marketing budget by 50% in the 2nd half of the year. The stock closed $1217.17 +12.76 (1%) but is now $1240 –29.85 (2.46%).
BIOPHARMA: was MIXED with BIIB -5,76, ABBV +.41, REGN +7.44, ISRG +1.09, GILD (see above), MYL +.39, TEVA +.34, VRTX -1.49, BHC -.04, INCY +.93, ICPT -.14, LABU -.44 and IBB 123.00 -.58 (.47%).
CANNABIS: This group was MIXED with TLRY +.02, CGC -.20, CRON +.05, GWPH +.44, ACB -.001, PYX -.14, NBEV -.01, CURLF +.01, KERN +.49, and MJ $11.50 +.06 (.52%).
DEFENSE: was MIXED with LMT -4.40, RTX -.44, GD -3.37, TXT +1.21, NOC -7.26, BWXT +.62, TDY +3.38 and ITA $149.53 +.50 (.34%).
RETAIL: was HIGHER with the exception of the discounters. M +.06, JWN +1.13, KSS +.53, DDS +3.14 (13.96%), JCP +.01, WMT -3.38, TGT -3.09, TJX -.65, RL +1.92, UAA +.19, LULU -1.13, TPR +.36, CPRI +.62 and XRT $33.18 -.12 (.36%).
FAANG and Big Cap: were LOWER with GOOGL -18.40 (see above), AMZN +25.02, AAPL -2.96, FB -.78, NFLX +2.58, NVDA -5.57, TSLA -31.56 (4.31%), BABA -5.26, BIDU -2.54, CMG -20.26, BA +1.21, CAT +1.61, DIS -.48 and XLK $86.10 -1.29 (1.48%).
FINANCIALS were LOWER with GS -2.48, JPM -.36, BAC -.02, MS -.58, C +.04, PNC +.53, AIG +.04, TRV -1.79, AXP -.04, V -1.09, and XLF $21.28 -.24 (1.12%).
OIL, $16.50 +2.72. Oil was the BIGGEST STORY of the day again with the June contract taking over and recovering from what was surely forced liquidation in May. Remember, that this will happen again unless the market improves before May 19th. Oil stocks were higher with CVX +1.94, XOM +1.35, OXY +.78, OAS + .56 (197%), NBL +.64, MRO +.33, MPC +.93, RIG +.04, APA +1.23 (13%), BP -.03, HES +2.40 (6.09%) and XLE $34.47 +1.01 (3.02%).
METALS, GOLD: $1,745.40 +7.10 After the recent gains, Gold broke solidly above $1,700 and traded as high as $1788 last Wednesday. Tuesday night it fell and hit $1,666 before coming back up $20. Today it rallied again and I still expect much higher prices. We are long NEM.
BITCOIN: closed $7540 +425. After we traded in the uptrend, I mentioned this weekend that I felt we’d have to test 6750 and yesterday we hit 6465 before turning back up. Today’s action was impressive. While I want to add the 350, I still want to wait and see some stabilization. We still own 400 GBTC with an average of $8.06. GBTC closed $8.63 + .93 today.
Tomorrow is another day.
CAM
submitted by Dashover to OptionsOnly [link] [comments]

HUOBI EXCHANGE REVIEW

HUOBI EXCHANGE REVIEW
Huobi is a Singapore-based cryptocurrency exchange. Founded in China, the company now has offices in Hong Kong, Korea, Japan and the United States. In August 2018 it became a publicly listed Hong Kong company.
Recently during early 2019, after crypto communities lost interest in ICOs (Initial Coin Offering) due to many unregistered STOs (Security Token Offering) and other projects whose aim was only to raise the funds. Exchanges adapted and gave a new dimension of the fund raising, IEO (Initial Exchange Offering).
In this regard, exchanges helped the projects by providing them a platform to raise the funds and also helped the retail investors by doing due diligence on the project on behalf of the investors. Best part of this process is, such issued tokens are listed on the same platform and exchanges helped these start ups in the process. This gave a sense of security and helped to maintain integrity with the projects and public investors.
All the top tier exchanges are participating in this movement and named such fund raising as Launchpad, Jumpstart, Spotlight, Startup etc. While Huobi came up with Huobi Prime.
Unlike other exchanges, Huobi Prime has helped varieties of start-ups.
  • It all started with a DAG based blockchain platform, Top Network.
  • A project named after the greatest scientist who made a major impact on the human lives, Newton Project. It is aimed to deliver an infrastructure for the community economy.
  • It is followed by Thunder Core. A blockchain project dreamt of decentralized future and allows anyone to build dApps on their platform.
  • Then Reserve Rights continued the legacy. It’s a protocol for stable currencies with three kinds of tokens RSV, RSR and collateral tokens.
  • Akropolis - a protocol to explore the informal economy and help the people with DeFi. It was one of it’s kind which was competitive enough to seek the help from the Huobi.
  • Later a social digital currency, Emogi secured a place to be the next Prime project.
  • Recently, Whole Network - A consensus, co-creation, and win-win behavioral value network had the opportunity to feature as a 7th Prime project.
However, each of the Prime project is different from the other in the list. One must admit, it is a basket with mixed fruits. From DAG to Currency to dApp platform to stable coin protocol to DeFi protocol to digital currency to blockchain phone. Huobi has covered a rich list of projects in this journey.

https://preview.redd.it/8z08lbq3qls41.png?width=800&format=png&auto=webp&s=34de122d950f32feb46df82cdce290221e1572be

(This chart presents the information based on the price of the each token on 2nd October. However it may vary marginally as price of the cryptocurrencies are volatile in nature)
Trading Options
Many centralized exchanges serve as the sole, centralized market maker. In contrast, Huobi also allows you to trade over the counter (OTC). This means that you can buy and sell cryptocurrencies peer-to-peer on Huobi. Even though this option exists on the exchange, it has yet to gain adoption from traders. Various commenters have said that there is a lack of OTC offers. Still, this is still an innovative technical feature.

If you are a margin trader, Houbi has a separate platform specifically for this. You can access this by going to the margin tab in the header. The amount of leverage you can have varies from coin-to-coin. For example, BTC is around 3x. Compared to other margin trading platforms, this is low. Nonetheless, it is an attractive option for potential users.

In December 2018, Huobi Derivative Market issued BTC contracts and ETH contracts (including weekly, bi-weekly and quarterly, respectively), and flexible leverages, including 1x, 5x, 10x and 20x. In the future, more digital currencies will be issued to meet various investment demands.
Meaning “currency” in Mandarin Chinese, Huobi consistently ranks as one of the world’s top ten largest exchanges by trade volume. In this article, we look at everything you need to know as a potential Huobi user. Let’s examine fees, fund security, customer experience and more.

User Interface and Mobile App

Available on iOS and Android, the Huobi mobile app features most of the functionalities available on the web platform. You can even complete tasks like account registration and verification directly via the app. In Google Play, the Huobi Global app has an average rating of 4.1 stars out of 3,730 reviews. However, in December 2018 and January 2019, some users have said that the Android app won’t let them login due to an error with Captcha. On the Apple App Store, Huobi boasts an average rating of 4.9 stars out of over 4,800 reviews.

Trading Options

Many centralized exchanges serve as the sole, centralized market maker. In contrast, Huobi also allows you to trade over the counter (OTC). This means that you can buy and sell cryptocurrencies peer-to-peer on Huobi. Even though this option exists on the exchange, it has yet to gain adoption from traders. Various commenters have said that there is a lack of OTC offers. Still, this is still an innovative technical feature.

If you are a margin trader, Houbi has a separate platform specifically for this. You can access this by going to the margin tab in the header. The amount of leverage you can have varies from coin-to-coin. For example, BTC is around 3x. Compared to other margin trading platforms, this is low. Nonetheless, it is an attractive option for potential users.

In December 2018, Huobi Derivative Market issued BTC contracts and ETH contracts (including weekly, bi-weekly and quarterly, respectively), and flexible leverages, including 1x, 5x, 10x and 20x. In the future, more digital currencies will be issued to meet various investment demands.

Huobi offers a margin trading option.

Security

Compared to other exchanges, Huobi continues to excel from a security perspective. Many top exchanges suffer from large-scale hacks, with varying results in terms of trading volume afterward. In 2015, a Bitstamp hacker withdrew 12,000 BTC from Huobi. However, this issue did not relate to the security of Huobi. Huobi reported a DDOS attack in 2015 but this did not cause a security breach. According to one review, an individual user lost USDT and EOS on Huobi. This reviewer states that the problem was caused by a technical error with Huobi’s 2FA. One comment suggests that it was the result of a phishing scam.

Huobi claims that its risk controls have been developed by the likes of Goldman Sachs. The exchange stores around 98 percent of funds in cold wallets. Moreover, Huobi now utilizes a decentralized exchange structure to prevent DDOS attacks. The exchange even has a User Protection Fund Initiative. Twenty percent of net revenue that the exchanges gains from trades will go to this fund, which it will use to buy back Huobi Token (HT). It also has a service called Huobi Security Reserve. As part of this, the exchange plans to store 20,000 BTC for insurance. This is a preventative measure that will help Huobi reimburse users in the case of any future hacks.

Huobi Fees

Huobi has a 0.2 percent fee that applies to both market makers and takers for amounts between $0 and $5,000,000 over the course of a 30-day period. In comparison, other top exchanges like Binance have 0.1 percent fees. Meanwhile, GDAX has 0.3 percent fees.

In January 2019, Huobi Global launched a tiered fee structure that significantly reduces fees for higher volume traders. This is relatively competitive when compared to other exchanges. Users also have the option to reduce trading fees on Huobi by becoming a VIP member. This involves paying a monthly payment of HT, which varies depending on the membership level (1-5).

Like most exchanges Huobi has no fees on deposits. However, Huobi does have withdrawal fees and minimums that vary from coin-to-coin. For example, withdrawing Bitcoin (BTC) costs 0.001 BTC, with a minimum withdrawal amount of 0.01 BTC. For Tether (USDT), the flat fee is 5 USDT and minimum withdrawal amount is 20 USDT. Overall, this means that Huobi fees are generally higher than most exchanges for lower withdrawal amounts. A few exceptions exist. For example, TUSD has a withdrawal minimum of $20 but a withdrawal fee of only $2.

Withdrawal Limitations

Similar to many exchanges on the market, Huobi has withdrawal limitations based on various levels of user verification. One thing you will notice is that withdrawal amounts vary greatly depending on your citizenship. For example, if you are a citizen of China, you can’t withdraw any funds as an unverified user or with level 1 verification. This option is only available at level 2 or above. In the United States, the exchange only requires level 1 verification. However, the amounts are relatively low: a daily limit of $2,000 and a monthly limit of $10,000.

Customer Service Experience

Compared to most exchanges, Huobi has above average customer service experience. Customer support is available 24/7, and response times only take two to three hours on average. Many consider this to be a rarity in the space.

There are two main methods that you can use to reach customer support. First, you can utilize the chat app that is available directly on the Huobi trading platform. Second, you can contact the team at [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected]). If you choose this option, Huobi asks that you use the registered email address associated with your Huobi account and include your user ID.

Huobi Website: https://www.huobi.vc/en-us/topic/invited/?invite_code=3afg5
UID: 134371568
Huobi Indian Community: https://t.me/huobiglobalindia
Huobi Global Community: https://t.me/huobiglobalofficial
submitted by asheroliver to u/asheroliver [link] [comments]

Dash Competitive Basket Index for Thursday, 19 March, 2020. We are not dead, and we are not a cat. Dash did very _very_ well today.

Dash Competitive Basket Index for Thursday, 19 March, 2020. We are not dead, and we are not a cat. Dash did very _very_ well today.
Dash screamed to the top of the charts today. We gained three ranks as well. We are not dead, and we are not a cat.
And I’m just going to keep pounding on the idea that we do just as many transactions as Litecoin, and the trend is that we will pass Litecoin (see chart below). We are more secure than LiteCoin (thanks ChainLocks!). We have optional on-chain trustless privacy (thanks PrivateSend!), litecoin doesn’t. We are faster than litecoin (thanks 2nd layer InstantSend!). Historically, we have far more innovations (widely copied I might add) than litecoin. Go ahead, make a list of everything LiteCoin has invented.
And we have far more active development today. Better governance, self funding, etc etc etc etc. And yet, litecoin has 4x our market cap, and is ranked 6th while we are at #20. This cannot be allowed. When the crypto market gains rationality, we will pass Litecoin…...mark my words. I’m not actually hating on Litecoin, there is room for lots of winners in the crypto sphere. Litecoin is not my enemy. But sooner or later, value has to reflect utility and usage.

  1. Dash outperformed 18 of the 19 cryptos listed above us on CoinPaprika (95% win rate). The 30 day SMA* is 30.0%
  2. Dash outperformed 10 of the 10 cryptos ranked below us (100% win rate). The 30 day SMA* is 33.0%.
  3. In total, Dash outperformed 28 of the top 29 cryptos (97% win rate). The 30 day SMA* is 31.9%.
  4. Bitcoin dominance gained 3/10’s to 63.7%
  5. 25 of the top 29 cryptos beat Bitcoin (86%).
  6. On the 7 day time frame, only 8 of the top 30 cryptos (27%) were in the green. Yes, Dash was leading the pack.
  7. But on the 24 hour time frame, 27 of the top 30 (90%) cryptos were in the green.
* The 30 day SMA is the Simple Moving Average for the last 30 days. It is represented with the red line. The blue line is the daily Dash performance based on the price change over a one week period. (win rate, i.e. how many competitors we beat expressed as a percent, not unlike a batting average.) As always, this is not investment advise. This is presented for entertainment and educational purposes only. Do your own homework. Don’t trust some random guy on the internet. All crypto is risky. Don’t invest more in crypto than you can afford to lose.
^ Dash vs the 19 cryptos listed above us. I love the smell of rocket fuel in the morning.

^ Dash vs the 10 cryptos listed below us. 10 for 10.

^ Dash vs the top 29 cryptos in the world. It tends to be feast or famine with Dash. But today we feast.

^ Dash vs Litecoin transactions. Yes, I cherry picked the data to show the stress test for Dash. But even without that, it's obvious that we have caught Litecoin.

submitted by solarguy2003 to dashpay [link] [comments]

Bitcoin (BTC) Has Seen One Major Rally During Each Block Reward Era

Bitcoin (BTC) Has Seen One Major Rally During Each Block Reward Era

https://preview.redd.it/lf7p0zqyn5d21.png?width=600&format=png&auto=webp&s=09a9c48586f96f1dda44b4a1af2d69b8bf57aa4f
https://cryptoiq.co/bitcoin-btc-has-seen-one-major-rally-during-each-block-reward-era/
So far, there have been 3 block reward eras for Bitcoin (BTC). The first era started with the genesis block in early January 2009, and there were 50 Bitcoin per block. The second era began at block 210,000 in late November 2012, and the block reward halved to 25 Bitcoin. The third era, which we are in as of this writing, began at block 420,000 in early July 2016. The block reward is now 12.5 Bitcoin.
When we overlay block reward halving dates on a logarithmic chart of Bitcoin’s price (below), it becomes apparent that there has been one major rally during each block reward era, at least so far. Further, roughly a year before the block halving that begins the era, the major rally of that era begins.

Source: @MoonOverlord on Twitter
As can be seen in the above chart the Bitcoin rally of late 2013 which brought Bitcoin over $1,000 for the first time occurred towards the middle of the 2nd era, and the rally to $20,000 in late 2017 occurred near the middle of the third era.
The fourth block reward era, when block rewards will be slashed to 6.25 Bitcoin, will start at block 630,000, projected to occur in May 2020. If the trend in the above chart continues, Bitcoin would bottom in late Spring or early Summer 2019 and then rally for one to two years to new all-time highs.
There may be some causation to this correlation. We expect that block halvings would help increase Bitcoin’s price since the rate of creation from mining is slashed. That means the Bitcoin inflation rate is halved. In the presence of increasing demand, the halving of the inflow of new Bitcoin would increase its price.
That said, there are many other factors that influence Bitcoin’s market cycles, making it perhaps overly simplistic to say that Bitcoin’s past two market cycles have been entirely due to the block halving. This correlation could be a coincidence.
It’s worth noting, however, that the rally of late 2013 ended as Mt. Gox collapsed, and the rally of 2017 ended as CME Bitcoin futures were launched and introduced massive short selling pressure.
Nonetheless, traders and investors pricing in the next block halving may apply upward pressure on Bitcoin’s price when May 2020 approaches. It will be interesting to see if history repeats itself and Bitcoin sees new all-time highs during the fourth block reward era.
submitted by turtlecane to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Bitcoin Price Chart & Analysis 2/10/2020 Bitcoin + Alts Price Chart & Analysis (April 2nd, 2020) Bitcoin $2,000! (Market Analysis & Key Lessons) 02/12/2020 Bitcoin Chart Breakdown BITCOIN BULL MARKET BEGINNING  BTC WEEKLY CHART

The CME Bitcoin futures market overtook Binance Futures to become the second-biggest Bitcoin (BTC) futures exchange by open interest. The data shows that the institutional volume is rapidly gaining a larger share of the cryptocurrency market. On Oct. 10, Skew reported that the CME Bitcoin futures market’s open interest rose sharply by 1,500 contracts. Since […] Crypto Price Analysis & Overview October 2nd: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Binance Coin, and Polkadot Author ... BTC/USD Daily Chart. Source: TradingView Ethereum . Ethereum saw a smaller 1.5% price drop over the course of the past seven days of trading. Last Friday, Ethereum was trading above the $352 level as it attempted to push higher above the 2018 high at $364 over the weekend. It failed ... Top cryptocurrency prices and charts, listed by market capitalization. Free access to current and historic data for Bitcoin and thousands of altcoins. Neighboring USDT dominance chart is at the key level and the probability of continued consolidation and the test of the mark 3% is quite high. It indicates a high probability of BTC correction up to $8400. The signal for it will be Bitcoin price fixation below $8700. Yesterday in Bitcoin market marginal buyers’ positions decreased ... Bitcoin price today is $13,073.32 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $23,603,626,066 USD. Bitcoin is up 0.48% in the last 24 hours. The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #1, with a market cap of $242,210,721,011 USD. It has a circulating supply of 18,527,100 BTC coins and a max. supply of 21,000,000 BTC coins.

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Bitcoin Price Chart & Analysis 2/10/2020

Bitcoin + Alts Price Chart & Analysis (April 2nd, 2020) TheChartGuys. Loading... Unsubscribe from TheChartGuys? ... Live market coverage & exclusive educational content. Get trading support and on ... Coin Market Cap Trickery data and charts is an open eye video on how to not fall into their trap and I give my best tips to avoid it. ROBINHOOD IS BACK, STOCKS DROP – Live Trading, Robinhood Options, Day Trading & STOCK MARKET NEWS Stock Market Live 4,751 watching Live now 95% Winning Forex Trading Formula - Beat The Market ... Grab my free Bitcoin trading course here: http://chrisdunn.com/bitcoin-basics Well, the past three months have been absolutely insane for Bitcoin and Altcoin... Some foundational clues on the bitcoin charts that the bitcoin bull market is underway and fast approaching. In this bitcoin technical analysis, we discuss bitcoin price on the zoomed out weekly ...

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